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Economy · Banks · ECBPress ✓ 7 outlets · statements per UniCredit

ECB apparently allows UniCredit to raise its stake in Commerzbank, the bank wants to hold around 50 percent of the voting rights by year-end

According to the Italian major bank, the ECB’s banking supervision has approved the stake increase. The reports rely on UniCredit’s announcement and cite no statement from the ECB itself. The consequences for Frankfurt and for Commerzbank are open.

The Italian major bank UniCredit is apparently close to taking over Commerzbank. By its own account, the ECB’s banking supervisors have approved its raising its stake in Commerzbank; the news became known on Thursday evening (Der Spiegel, Die Zeit, Handelsblatt, FAZ, ZDFheute, BILD). The Italian news agency ANSA writes that the permission applies to stakes above 30 percent and has no upper limit. So far that appears only there.

UniCredit has been moving closer to Commerzbank for two years (Handelsblatt). With a takeover offer in the summer it narrowly missed a majority (Handelsblatt). According to FAZ it wants to hold around 50 percent of the voting rights by year-end; FAZ calls the approval a central step in the takeover. The reports at hand give no information on possible conditions imposed by the supervisors.

Commerzbank CEO Bettina Orlopp had previously told Die Zeit that it was “not per se” her job to prevent a takeover (Die Zeit, single source). How Commerzbank and the federal government respond to the approval is not stated in the evening reports.

Already in the morning FAZ had asked what the Commerzbank takeover means for Frankfurt. The power struggle seems decided, it writes; now the question is what politics can still get for the location and what remains of the bank’s German independence. Separately, Handelsblatt reports that Frankfurt is slipping in the ranking of financial centers (single source). Bloomberg reports that UniCredit is working on hedging German home loans worth over one billion euros while it expands its presence in Germany (single source).

For customers, the approval changes nothing at first. Whether UniCredit will submit a new offer, how it intends to run the bank, and what that means for branches and jobs, the reports do not answer. The Commerzbank share price after the news is also not confirmed.

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By the numbers
over 400 millionbarrels of oil from emergency reserves that the IEA wants to release in total (Reuters, Die Zeit, Bloomberg)
45 yearsfuture age limit for mammography screening at the expense of the statutory health insurers, previously 50 (Tagesschau, Der Spiegel, Süddeutsche Zeitung)
Jan. 16/17special party conference of the SPD with a new election of the executive committee, location Bremen (Die Zeit, Tagesschau)
Politics · EU · Auto industryPress ✓ 9 outlets · details open

Merz and Macron agree at EU summit on loosening the combustion-engine ban, France gets stricter “Made in EU” rules

Germany and France agreed on Thursday at the EU summit in Brussels on a reform of European car policy (Der Spiegel, Die Zeit, FAZ, Handelsblatt, Die Welt, T-Online). New cars apparently will not have to be entirely emission-free from 2035 after all, which weakens the combustion-engine ban (Die Zeit, Der Spiegel). According to Handelsblatt, Chancellor Merz pushes through loosening for combustion engines and President Macron stricter “Made in EU” rules; Handelsblatt sums it up as “More combustion engines, less China.”

FAZ writes that this should clear the way at EU level, but that the deal has a price for Berlin. Which one, the reports do not say. Handelsblatt reports that SPD ministers had previously offered Merz a compromise (single source). Der Spiegel points to an analysis according to which the industry could meet the contested CO₂ limits thanks to the e-car boom, even though it is pushing for loosening (single source). The agreement of two governments is not yet an EU decision.

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Word of the day
Voting rightsEconomy

The share of votes a shareholder can cast at the shareholders’ meeting. Whoever holds more than half can push through resolutions alone.


Politics · EU · BudgetPress ✓ 8 outlets · amounts not confirmed

Merz insists at EU summit on a much smaller budget and does not want Russian assets moved to the USA

At the EU summit in Brussels the heads of state and government are wrangling over the new EU budget, which Handelsblatt and Tagesschau call a budget in the trillions. Chancellor Merz expects “very, very difficult” negotiations (Der Spiegel, Handelsblatt). Germany demands a much smaller budget than proposed so far (Handelsblatt, Euronews). Der Spiegel writes that Brussels is demanding more money while Merz calls the plans “unaffordable”; WirtschaftsWoche reports that he ties the budget to cutting red tape. Some countries share his view, others cannot see any merit in the savings proposals. According to Tagesschau the lines are clearly drawn; the big bang failed to materialize.

On the Ukraine question, Merz said, according to Der Spiegel, that aid must continue or even grow, but not everyone in Europe sees it that way. The Financial Times had reported that the USA wanted to release part of the frozen Russian assets; before the summit Merz flatly rejected this: the assets must stay in Europe (Handelsblatt, Der Spiegel). Der Spiegel comments that Merz should stay tough on the budget issue.

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Ukraine · Russia · EnergyPress ✓ 9 outlets · price effects open

Zelensky announces new attacks on Russian refineries as Washington suspends diesel sanctions and the IEA wants to release oil reserves faster

Ukraine wants to attack Russian oil refineries again: President Zelensky announced new strikes (Die Zeit, Handelsblatt, Der Spiegel, MDR, BILD; according to Reuters citing the Financial Times). T-Online reports that Ukraine has already resumed the attacks; Reuters reports a fire at the Ryazan refinery after a drone attack, according to the governor (single source). Der Spiegel puts the announcement in the context of a US deal with the Kremlin. Handelsblatt writes that Trump is suspending diesel sanctions against Russia; Moscow sees the attacks as an affront to Trump. The Kremlin said Russia is resuming diesel exports following the agreement with Trump (Reuters); n-tv writes that Moscow is celebrating the deal and wants to supply the world market.

Washington is also considering easing sanctions on shadow fleet ships in order to lower freight rates (Der Spiegel, FAZ, n-tv, Reuters). Experts doubt the benefit (n-tv). Senators from both parties are calling for an end to the diesel deal, n-tv reports (single source). The IEA wants to speed up the release of its oil reserves; the total quantity is to exceed 400 million barrels, including more than 20 million barrels of diesel (Reuters, Die Zeit, Handelsblatt, Bloomberg). Brent closed at $105.92 per barrel, according to FinancialJuice (single source).

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Markets · Technology · Interest ratesPress ✓ 11 outlets · closing prices only partly confirmed

The sell-off in AI stocks continues: Asian markets plunge, CoreWeave comes under pressure, the Dax nevertheless closes higher

After the higher-than-expected US inflation on Wednesday, the Nasdaq closed that same day 1.88 percent lower at 26,692.87 points, according to the Straits Times, its biggest daily loss since July 23; the Dow Jones fell only slightly (two Thai stock portals). In Asia the sell-off continued on Thursday (Handelsblatt, Der Spiegel, n-tv, heise, Reuters, AP). Heise spoke of a “black Thursday.” CNBC reports a plunge of 7 percent in South Korea’s Kospi and of 10 percent in SK Hynix shares (single source). Investors fled into bonds, and yields fell (Bloomberg, single source).

Yet chipmaker TSMC delivered record figures. Profit rose by 68.7 percent according to n-tv, Handelsblatt cites 21 billion euros in three months; the company expects revenue growth of around 44 percent in dollars in 2026, according to FinancialJuice (single source). Even so, chip stocks fell (Tagesschau, Finanzen.net, Bloomberg). The focus is on CoreWeave, a provider of data centers for AI: its stock and bonds slid further (Reuters, Bloomberg). According to Bloomberg, credit default swaps price in a probability of default of more than 50 percent within five years. Nvidia CEO Huang said CoreWeave does not need support from Nvidia (FinancialJuice, single source). Reuters also reported a network disruption at the Nasdaq that affected price data for US stocks (single source).

The Dax opened lower on Thursday (Handelsblatt) and closed, according to price data, at 25,382.62 points, 0.33 percent higher (single source). US producer prices rose in September by more than at any time in four and a half years (Reuters, single source). How Wall Street and Xetra fare today is open; we could not confirm the euro exchange rate, which is why the right ear of the front page shows “—”.

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In brief
  • Europa League: Leverkusen win 4:0 at Lech Poznań, Schick scores twice from the penalty spotDie Zeit · FAZ · BILD
  • The leap second is to be abolished from 2027, researchers have decidedDer Spiegel · Die Zeit · n-tv · BILD
  • European Court of Justice: banks must first refund victims of account fraud, there is one exceptionDer Spiegel · Tagesschau · Die Zeit · FAZ · Handelsblatt
  • Rents for newly advertised apartments are rising faster again according to the Kiel Institute, especially in Berlin and DüsseldorfFAZ · Der Spiegel · n-tv · Die Zeit
  • The federal government and Nvidia agree on an AI cooperation, BILD speaks of a multimillion project for companiesDie Zeit · Handelsblatt · BILD · Focus
  • Two ships are on fire off the Romanian coast in the Black Sea, seven to eight seamen are missingReuters · Guardian · Tagesschau
  • Houthis attack the seat of government in Aden, the prime minister is unharmedReuters · FAZ · BBC
  • China and North Korea open a new border bridge, twelve years later than plannedDer Spiegel · Handelsblatt · Reuters
Seven minutes every morning, one front page

Unverified — what we could not confirm

“The USA will soon drop the ‘Mother of All Bombs’ on Iran.” The US military is considering using it in possible future strikes, according to a CNN report (Reuters, Der Spiegel, Handelsblatt). A decision or an order to use it is not documented in the reports.
“A video shows a Saudi passenger plane exploding after a Houthi attack.” AFP Fact Check classifies the video as AI-generated and also says that another video has been wrongly linked to the attacks on Saudi airports. Real Houthi attacks on Saudi facilities, however, are reported by the Saudi-led coalition (Reuters).
“Harry Kane has extended his contract at FC Bayern until 2029.” Media report an agreement on a contract until 2029 (Die Zeit, sport.de); an English-language Bayern blog speaks of an agreement in principle. Confirmation from the club is not in the reports.
Glossary · dotted words — politics, economics, law and security terms explained in the context of the story. The list grows every day.
INSIDEECB apparently allows UniCredit to raise its stake in Commerzbank, the bank wants to hold around 50 percent of the voting rights by year-endEconomy · Banks · ECBMerz and Macron agree at EU summit on loosening the combustion-engine ban, France gets stricter “Made in EU” rulesPolitics · EU · Auto industryMerz insists at EU summit on a much smaller budget and does not want Russian assets moved to the USAPolitics · EU · BudgetZelensky announces new attacks on Russian refineries as Washington suspends diesel sanctions and the IEA wants to release oil reserves fasterUkraine · Russia · EnergyThe sell-off in AI stocks continues: Asian markets plunge, CoreWeave comes under pressure, the Dax nevertheless closes higherMarkets · Technology · Interest rates