-0.72%FTSE MIB · Thu. Oct. 15 close · 49,397.55 points

DailyDrop.

—EUR/USD · figure not confirmed by two sources
FTSE MIB49,397.55▼0.72%10/15EUR/USD—S&P 500—WTI—Gold—
Politics · EuropePress ✓ 9 outlets · partisan statements; Russian assets: Financial Times report

Russian diesel, the White House replies to Meloni: “A great deal.” EU summit opens divided over energy and budget

After the prime minister’s criticism of the deal between Trump and Putin, Washington defends the agreement and the Kremlin attacks the European countries. Kyiv announces it will resume striking Russian refineries and, according to the Financial Times, the United States proposed unblocking part of the frozen Russian assets: the idea was reportedly rejected.

On Wednesday, October 14, Giorgia Meloni, in her statement to Parliament ahead of the European Council, called Donald Trump’s choice on Russian diesel, that is, the deal reached with Vladimir Putin, “very risky,” reiterating her full support for Kyiv (Tgcom24, ANSA, la Repubblica, Corriere della Sera). Moscow replied that the deal is “not the business” of the Italian prime minister (ANSA, Tgcom24). On Thursday, October 15, the White House replied, in an answer also given to la Repubblica, that the diesel deal is “a great deal” (ANSA, Tgcom24, la Repubblica). The Kremlin then called the European countries’ position on the deal “destructive” (ANSA) and said that Russia has resumed diesel exports after the agreement with Trump (Reuters).

As reported on Thursday, Volodymyr Zelensky told the Financial Times that Ukraine will resume attacks on Russian refineries (Reuters, ANSA, la Repubblica, Il Sole 24 ORE). According to la Repubblica the halt to the raids, after the truce announced by Trump, had held for three days, but only on the Ukrainian side; Reuters reports a fire at the Ryazan refinery after a drone attack, according to the regional governor. The Financial Times again, picked up by Reuters, ANSA and Tgcom24, writes that the United States proposed to some European countries to unblock part of the frozen Russian assets to relaunch negotiations; the idea was reportedly rejected (Tgcom24, RaiNews). CNN, cited by ANSA, says Ukraine has run out of missiles for the Patriot; ANSA also reports that London is sending more Storm Shadow missiles and that, according to Ukrainian media, Starlink is working again. Elon Musk said that it is “time” for Zelensky “to go” (ANSA, Il Fatto Quotidiano).

The European Council opened on Thursday in Brussels with the Twenty-Seven divided over the high cost of energy and over the budget for the coming years (Tgcom24, ANSA, Il Sole 24 ORE). Meloni asked for more flexibility (Tgcom24). Finland, Denmark and Sweden wrote that they do not want to weaken the ETS, the European market for emission permits (ANSA, Il Sole 24 ORE); German chancellor Friedrich Merz called for “sharp cuts” to the EU budget, judging Ireland’s proposal insufficient (ANSA). Italy gathered the Friends of Cohesion before the summit (ANSA), and foreign minister Antonio Tajani asked the EU to choose an envoy for peace in Ukraine soon (ANSA).

What is unclear: the terms of the US-Russia diesel deal are not known in detail and we do not know how much diesel will actually reach the market. The report on the Russian assets comes from a single source, the Financial Times. On prices, the International Energy Agency is speeding up the release of oil stocks, which will exceed 400 million barrels, with over 20 million barrels of diesel (Reuters), while TTF gas contracts in Amsterdam fell to around 86 euros per megawatt hour (ANSA). DailyDrop follows the second day of the summit today.

Open the story and DailyDrop’s take
By the numbers
3 daysthe pause in raids on the refineries lasted, but only on the Ukrainian side (la Repubblica)
Over 400 millionbarrels: the oil stocks the IEA will release in total, of which over 20 million of diesel (Reuters)
€86 per MWhthe price of gas in Amsterdam, down almost 1% (ANSA)
News · EconomyPress ✓ 8 outlets · the causes are disputed

Pumps run dry in Puglia and Calabria, truckers threaten a national stoppage. The government summons them on October 27

Between Wednesday and Thursday, service stations with no petrol or diesel appeared across wide areas of Puglia and Calabria, with queues even at night (ANSA, Tgcom24, Il Fatto Quotidiano, FoggiaToday). The outlets do not give the same explanation. Il Fatto Quotidiano and Corriere della Sera link the shortage to the ex-Ilva dispute: for four days workers have reportedly been picketing the gates of the Eni refinery in Taranto and the tanker trucks are said not to be leaving. Other reports (Tgcom24, la Repubblica) speak of pickets by farmers and hauliers against the high cost of fuel, including those at the A14 toll booths at Poggio Imperiale and Candela, in the Foggia area. Conftrasporto and Unatras warn that, without answers, a national stoppage of road haulage will begin (ANSA, Il Giorno), and ANSA reports that truckers are threatening to stop “from North to South.” On Thursday evening the Ministry of Infrastructure and Transport summoned the haulage sector for October 27 (ANSA), the same date as the new ex-Ilva meeting at Palazzo Chigi (ANSA, Tgcom24, Il Giorno). Il Fatto Quotidiano writes that in Sicily heavy vehicles will stay still from midnight on the 16th until October 20: we have not found a second source. On Thursday self-service petrol cost an average of €2.035 per litre (ANSA). Minister Urso had said on Wednesday that the government is working to extend the cap on fuel prices (ANSA, RaiNews).

Open
Word of the day
National stoppageTransport

A halt to truck activity across Italy, called by the road haulage associations in protest. It is not an employees’ strike: it is decided by the haulage companies.


Economy · Public financesPress ✓ 5 outlets · details still to be confirmed

Budget package of 23.5 billion: five from banks and insurers, five to households. The banks: “Measure not agreed”

In the night between Wednesday and Thursday the government sent Brussels the Draft Budgetary Plan for 2027 (Il Fatto Quotidiano, Tgcom24, ANSA). The budget package is worth about 23.5 billion: 5 go to households and social spending, 3.3 to businesses (Tgcom24). The funding comes from a contribution of about 5 billion from the financial sector, from cuts to ministries and from measures on gaming (ANSA, Tgcom24, la Repubblica). The banks let it be known that the measure was not agreed and are waiting for the details (ANSA, RaiNews). The document puts the deficit at 3.4% and talks with the European Commission on the defence and energy clause remain open (ANSA). Il Fatto Quotidiano writes that defence would get almost double the resources of healthcare: a figure from a single source. For the opposition, Francesco Boccia, of the Pd, says that Giorgetti “presents the bill for Meloni’s failure” (ANSA); La Stampa observes that the budget package is small given the European constraints and market fears. On the idea of an Irpef cut to 33%, discussed on Wednesday, the sources we have read give no figures.

Open
Economy · MarketsPress ✓ 6 outlets · Milan close of Thursday, October 15; Wall Street not yet closed

Piazza Affari gives up 0.72% on tech stocks, Technoprobe loses over 10%. Other European stock markets close higher

On Thursday, October 15, the Ftse Mib closed at 49,397 points, down 0.72%, held back by tech stocks: Technoprobe lost over 10% and in the morning Stm and Prysmian had also slipped (ANSA). Paris closed at +0.78%, London at +1.08%, Frankfurt at +0.33% (ANSA). The Btp-Bund spread fell to 107 points, with the yield on the Italian ten-year at 4.48% (ANSA). The common thread is artificial intelligence: Reuters and Bloomberg speak of debts and fears around CoreWeave, and according to Reuters US chip stocks were, during the session, about to wipe out roughly $2 trillion in value. Il Sole 24 ORE says that TSMC reported revenues of $46.7 billion and profits up almost 70%; Milano Finanza adds that the stock fell anyway. On rates, according to Reuters, Federal Reserve official Daly said that further hikes are probably necessary, but not urgently. Overnight the Nikkei index in Tokyo lost over 4% (ANSA), 5% for Il Sole 24 ORE. From America, according to Reuters, producer prices for September rose at the fastest pace in four and a half years and retail sales beat expectations. We do not have a Wall Street close confirmed by two sources.

Open

News · VaticanPress ✓ 8 outlets · result of the lymph node test not yet known

Leo XIV, “good recovery of the operated lung.” Parolin: perhaps the Angelus from the Gemelli on Sunday, “if necessary he will recalibrate the pontificate”

On Thursday, October 15, doctors at the Gemelli Polyclinic said the X-ray shows a good recovery of the lung operated on Tuesday and that respiratory physiotherapy has begun (ANSA, Quotidiano Nazionale, AGI). According to la Repubblica Leo XIV has resumed work and, according to AGI and RaiNews, concelebrated Mass in the hospital. AP reports that the post-operative tests are normal. In the evening the Secretary of State, Cardinal Pietro Parolin, said he is worried but trusts the doctors, and that if the Pope is better on Sunday he could lead the Angelus from the Gemelli (ANSA, Il Fatto Quotidiano, Quotidiano Nazionale).

Parolin added that, if necessary, the Pope “will recalibrate the pontificate” (ANSA, Il Fatto Quotidiano); the outlets reporting the phrase do not speak of resignation. On the trip to South America the sources do not agree: RaiNews speaks of a postponement, Tgcom24 of a decision expected soon. The examination of the lymph nodes, which will say whether further treatment is needed, takes about two weeks from the operation, as the surgeon Luca Voltolini, who is not treating the Pope, explained to la Repubblica. Donald Trump had sent his wishes for a quick recovery. What we do not know: the date of discharge from hospital and the treatment schedule.

Open the story and DailyDrop’s take
In brief
  • Trump: the firing-squad execution of the Fort Hood killer will not be broadcast live, after criticism that was also bipartisanAP · Reuters · ANSA
  • White House, controversy over new spokeswoman Katie Zacharia’s status as a lawyerReuters · ANSA · la Repubblica · Tgcom24
  • Mattarella warns Parliament: too many national days, already 51ANSA · Tgcom24 · la Repubblica · RaiNews
  • Rottamazione-quinquies: from Friday, October 16, applications for vehicle taxes, fines and leviesANSA · Tgcom24 · Il Sole 24 ORE
  • Turin, school occupations: a 17-year-old arrested for damage, 27 identifiedANSA · Tgcom24 · La Stampa
  • Milan, three workers barred from working over violence against elderly women in an RsaANSA · Tgcom24
  • Rome, life sentence upheld for the man who killed three womenANSA · Tgcom24 · Quotidiano Nazionale
  • Milan, a 21-year-old German student reports a sexual assault in the streetANSA · AGI · Tgcom24 · la Repubblica
Seven minutes every morning, one front page

Unverified — what we could not confirm

“The pumps are dry because there is already a national truckers’ strike.” Not borne out. The national stoppage is a threat from Conftrasporto and Unatras (ANSA, Il Giorno); the reports speak of local pickets and of the ex-Ilva dispute, while the stoppage in Sicily from October 16 to 20 is reported only by Il Fatto Quotidiano.
“The United States has already unblocked the frozen Russian assets.” No. The Financial Times writes that Washington proposed to European countries to unblock part of them and that the idea was reportedly rejected (Tgcom24, ANSA, RaiNews). No act of unblocking has been announced.
“Trump will use the ‘mother of all bombs’ against Iran.” Not confirmed. CNN, picked up by Reuters and ANSA, writes that the US military is weighing the use of that weapon in possible future attacks; no decision has been announced.
Glossary · dotted words — economics, law, security and science terms explained in the context of the story. The list grows every day.
INSIDERussian diesel, the White House replies to Meloni: “A great deal.” EU summit opens divided over energy and budgetPolitics · EuropePumps run dry in Puglia and Calabria, truckers threaten a national stoppage. The government summons them on October 27News · EconomyBudget package of 23.5 billion: five from banks and insurers, five to households. The banks: “Measure not agreed”Economy · Public financesPiazza Affari gives up 0.72% on tech stocks, Technoprobe loses over 10%. Other European stock markets close higherEconomy · MarketsLeo XIV, “good recovery of the operated lung.” Parolin: perhaps the Angelus from the Gemelli on Sunday, “if necessary he will recalibrate the pontificate”News · Vatican