September inflation due today; economists see 6.7 percent, central bank warns of up to 7.4
The PSA releases September inflation on October 6. Economists in BusinessWorld and Manila Times polls see a median of 6.7%, from 6.1% in August; the BSP's estimate range is 6.4% to 7.4% (Manila Times, BusinessWorld, Philstar). A BPI economist expects a second peak. A hot print could prompt a rate hike later in October.
Inflation decides interest rates, loan costs and the value of savings.
Higher inflation raises grocery and transport bills; if the central bank hikes, loans and credit cards get costlier.
A reading within the forecast range would limit the shock.
A figure above 7 percent would revive talk of a rate hike and pressure the peso.
Wait for the number. Compare it with 6.7 (poll) and 7.4 (top of the central bank's range) before reading anything into it.
DailyDrop Philippines edition No. 2 · Morning · TUE., OCT. 6, 2026