—S&P Merval · Thu Oct 8 close · unconfirmed

DailyDrop.

ARS 1,515.50USD/ARS wholesale · Thu Oct 8 close · −0.10%
S&P Merval—USD/ARS1,515.50▼0.10%10/8S&P 5007,765.36▼0.47%10/8WTI$91.50▲3.60%10/8Gold$4,157.00▲0.20%10/8
World · Iran and oilPress ✓ 5 outlets · Trump’s remarks per Infobae, La Nación and Perfil

Trump said on Truth Social that the US will not attack Iran before the November 3 elections, but keeps the blockade; Brent rose 4% on Thursday

The announcement came after it emerged that the White House had asked the Pentagon for military options. Crude had jumped on attacks on tankers off Qatar and a hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico.

US President Donald Trump wrote on Truth Social on Thursday, October 8, that his country will not attack Iran at any point before the November 3 legislative elections, and described the talks with Tehran as “productive,” according to Infobae, La Nación and Perfil. The naval blockade of Iranian exports will remain in force. Trump said that 22 million barrels of crude passed through Hormuz the night before, none of it originating in or bound for Iran. The announcement followed reports from The Atlantic, which said the White House had asked the Pentagon for options to strike Iranian targets before the vote, and from CBS, which said the scale and the targets had not yet been defined.

In the market, Brent gained 4.07% on Thursday and closed at around US$104.28, according to Infobae, on attacks on tankers, including one off Qatar, and on a hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico that disrupted more than 510,000 barrels a day of production. WTI rose 3.60% to US$91.50. Iran said it will respond “in a few days” to Washington’s latest peace proposal. After Trump’s announcement, Brent gave back close to 1%, to US$103.2, before European stock markets opened. DailyDrop could not verify how much of the decline holds.

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By the numbers
+4.07%Brent on Thursday, at around US$104.28
+3.60%WTI, at US$91.50
Nov 3US legislative elections
Politics · EducationPress ✓ 4 outlets · appeal per Ámbito, Perfil and La Nación

The Government appealed the ruling ordering the university law to be applied: it says it would mean reallocating 90.30% of available appropriations

The Human Capital Ministry and the Treasury Attorney’s Office filed the appeal against the ruling by Judge Martín Cormick on Thursday, October 8, in a 42-page brief, according to Ámbito, Perfil and La Nación. The Government argues that applying the University Financing Law would require reallocating 90.30% of the appropriations available for the State’s primary spending, and that Congress should have identified the source of funding. It also argues that a collective amparo was not the proper route, according to Perfil.

Infobae reported that the Government filed a criminal complaint against Deputy Itaí Hagman, of Grabois’s group, and four other people over the takeover of the Pizzurno Palace, seat of the Ministry of Education. University representatives said the Secretary of Education had to leave a meeting at the request of Sandra Pettovello, according to Ámbito. DailyDrop has not yet seen the judge’s decision on the effect of the appeal.

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Economy · StatePress ✓ 3 outlets · scope per Infobae and La Nación

The Government is preparing a voluntary retirement plan for public employees and ATE rejects it: “it is an extortionate dismissal”

The Government is preparing a decree with a voluntary retirement plan for employees of the public administration, according to Infobae. The group covered would be 21,187 workers, with about 2,187 sign-ups expected and an initial cost of between ARS 116.5 billion and ARS 130 billion, La Nación reported. Anyone who signs up could not return to the national public sector for eight years, and the posts vacated could not be filled for two years. Registration would begin in November.

ATE’s general secretary, Rodolfo Aguiar, said that “it is not voluntary retirement, it is extortionate dismissal” and anticipated direct-action measures. The decree had not yet been published, according to the media. DailyDrop has not seen the official text or the final timetable.

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Politics · Congress and CourtPress ✓ 3 outlets · per La Nación, Infobae and Perfil

The ruling party expects a Court ruling on the Rural Land Law that would let it defuse the opposition session of October 15

La Nación reported on Thursday, October 8, that the ruling party is counting on an imminent Supreme Court decision on the repeal of the Rural Land Law by DNU 70/23, while it seeks to defuse the opposition session. The opposition requested a special session on October 15 at 2 p.m. to reject the decree and take up household indebtedness and the disability emergency, according to Perfil. It has about 122 deputies, seven short of the quorum of 129.

Infobae said that a Court decision would give the Government “breathing room.” DailyDrop has not yet seen the ruling, so the effect on the session is an expectation and not a fact. The Senate had already given initial approval to the inviolability of private property, by 37 votes to 33, after removing the rural land chapter.

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Markets · ArgentinaPress ✓ 3 outlets · quotes per Ámbito and Infobae

Country risk edged lower toward 585 points and the wholesale dollar closed at ARS 1,515.50; the BCRA bought US$43 million

Country risk edged lower on Thursday, October 8, toward 585 basis points, according to La Nación; Perfil put it at 587. Argentine bonds and stocks rebounded despite the drop on Wall Street, with Loma Negra +5.1% and Globant +4.4% among the ADRs, according to La Nación and Infobae. DailyDrop could not confirm the S&P Merval close in two sources: Perfil put it 0.1% lower in pesos and La Nación 0.4% higher during the session.

The wholesale dollar closed at ARS 1,515.50, ARS 1.50 lower, according to Ámbito. The blue fell to ARS 1,540 and the official rate at Banco Nación held at ARS 1,540 for the fifth day in a row. The CCL closed at ARS 1,608.96, a 6.2% gap over the official rate, and the MEP at about ARS 1,538. The BCRA bought US$43 million, 8.6% of the supply, according to Infobae. El Cronista gave a different figure for the blue, ARS 1,555, which we do not use.

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In brief
  • Country risk at around 585 points; S&P Merval close unconfirmedLa Nación, Perfil
  • Wholesale dollar ARS 1,515.50; blue ARS 1,540; BCRA bought US$43 millionÁmbito, Infobae
  • S&P 500 7,765.36 (−0.47%) and WTI US$91.50 (+3.60%)market data
  • Brent +4.07% to US$104.28 on tanker attacks and a hurricaneInfobae
  • Trump: no attack on Iran before November 3Infobae, La Nación
  • Government appeal: applying the law would cost 90.30% of appropriationsÁmbito, Perfil
  • Voluntary retirement: 21,187 public employees coveredInfobae, La Nación
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Unverified — what we could not confirm

“Trump announced the end of the war with Iran.” He said he will not attack before November 3 and that talks are productive; the blockade remains (Infobae, La Nación).
“The Government complied with the university ruling.” It appealed on Thursday; the earlier injunction remains in force (Ámbito, Perfil).
“The Merval rose 5% on Thursday.” The 5% was the gain in individual stocks such as Loma Negra; the index closed almost unchanged or has no confirmed close (La Nación, Perfil).

Influencer watch

  • Donald Trump, presidente de EE.UU. Truth Social · 10/8Trump wrote on Truth Social that the US will not attack Iran before the Nov. 3 elections and that talks are productive, though the blockade continues.

Statements as posted, not fact-checked.

Glossary · dotted words — economics, law, security and science terms explained in the context of the story. The list grows every day.
INSIDETrump said on Truth Social that the US will not attack Iran before the November 3 elections, but keeps the blockade; Brent rose 4% on ThursdayWorld · Iran and oilThe Government appealed the ruling ordering the university law to be applied: it says it would mean reallocating 90.30% of available appropriationsPolitics · EducationThe Government is preparing a voluntary retirement plan for public employees and ATE rejects it: “it is an extortionate dismissal”Economy · StateThe ruling party expects a Court ruling on the Rural Land Law that would let it defuse the opposition session of October 15Politics · Congress and CourtCountry risk edged lower toward 585 points and the wholesale dollar closed at ARS 1,515.50; the BCRA bought US$43 millionMarkets · Argentina