4,223.7TA-35 · Oct. 5 close (calculated) · +0.13%

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3.057USD/ILS · market close Oct. 5 · representative rate not verified
TA-354,223.70▲0.13%10/5USD/ILS3.06▲0.09%10/5S&P 5007,773.95▲0.66%10/5WTI$89.43▼1.84%10/5Gold$4,156.80▼0.13%10/5
Security · AviationPress ✓ 5 outlets · planning details attributed to unidentified sources

The flydubai affair: co-pilot reportedly planned to crash at Ben Gurion Airport; Israel assesses that the rest of the crew was not involved

The investigation has widened beyond the Middle East, and in Israel the dispute continues between the Transport Ministry and Shin Bet over who was supposed to vet the pilot.

On Monday NPR reported, citing the findings of the investigation, that the co-pilot of flydubai flight FZ1073 intended to crash the plane at Ben Gurion Airport. The motive is still unknown. The report adds to the words of the attorney general of the United Arab Emirates, who called the incident a terror attack, and to Prime Minister Netanyahu’s assessment that the suspect had undergone Islamist radicalization. Trump hinted at a link to Iran but presented no details, the Washington Post reported.

According to the Washington Post, the investigation has widened from the Middle East to New Zealand as well, and the authorities are trying to understand how a person who had been flagged in Oman over extremist views was allowed to fly. The Times of Israel reported that Israel does not believe other crew members were involved, and that Shin Bet agents are taking part in the investigation in the Emirates. The Transport Ministry issued a new security directive for foreign flights.

In Israel, where aircraft from the Emirates have been landing since the Abraham Accords, the sparring over responsibility goes on. The AP agency reported at the end of the week that the Emirates had passed the pilots’ names and citizenship to Israel before the flight, and that Israel raised no suspicion. Shin Bet placed responsibility on the Transport Ministry, and Minister Miri Regev wrote on X that the security bodies are responsible for flight security and that the ministry had received no warnings. Channel 12 reported, according to the Times of Israel, that Regev had ignored three earlier warnings; this was not confirmed by a second source and therefore appears here as a report only.

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By the numbers
27countries whose pilots were barred from entry, according to the Times of Israel
3warnings Regev ignored, according to Channel 12 (single source)
21days until the Knesset election on October 27
Politics · ElectionPress ✓ 4 outlets · polls vary between channels

21 days to the election: polls are tight and the campaigns brace for the final week

A Zman Yisrael poll published on October 2 gave the Likud and Yashar!, led by Gadi Eisenkot, 21 seats each, and the bloc backing Netanyahu 53 seats out of 120. In a September poll published in Haaretz, Eisenkot’s bloc was ahead of Netanyahu’s bloc, 57 to 51. The Jerusalem Post wrote that Eisenkot still leads in most polls, but Netanyahu is narrowing the gap.

On October 5 Haaretz published a review of campaign strategies in the closing weeks, according to which neither bloc holds a majority without the Arab parties, and the outcome may depend on voter turnout. DailyDrop reminds readers that polls are a snapshot, not a forecast, and that the gap between channels stems, among other things, from different sampling methods.

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Word of the day
BlocPolitics

A group of parties that commit to supporting the same candidate for prime minister; 61 seats are needed to form a government.


Iran · DiplomacyPress ✓ 3 outlets · each side’s positions attributed

Iran: Strait of Hormuz to stay closed until the US accepts the conditions; Trump rejected the offer

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said at the end of the week that Tehran’s position has not changed: the strait will remain closed until Washington meets the conditions Iran has presented, Al Jazeera reported. The speaker of the Iranian parliament spoke of seven conditions based on the Islamabad Memorandum.

According to the reports, Trump rejected the Iranian offer, and an official in the US administration described the indirect contacts as positive and useful but said there will be no agreement unless the nuclear issue is addressed. Qatar and Pakistan are mediating. DailyDrop has seen no independent confirmation of the wording of the conditions, so they are presented as an Iranian position only.

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Economy · MarketsUS closing data ✓ 3 sources · TA-35 close calculated from data of October 5 and 6

Wall Street up 0.66%; TA-35 closed on October 5 at about 4,224 points

The S&P 500 closed on Monday at 7,773.95 points, up 0.66%. WTI crude futures fell 1.84% to $89.43 a barrel, and gold fell 0.13% to $4,156.8 an ounce. DailyDrop found no verified explanation for the drop in oil and therefore does not attribute it to any particular cause.

In Tel Aviv the TA-35 closed on Monday up about 0.13%, at about 4,224 points. The figure was calculated from the October 6 close (4,198.81 points, down 0.59%), as published by Investing.com and in exchange reports, and no direct closing report was found for it. The Tel Aviv Stock Exchange has traded Monday through Friday since 2026. The dollar rate hovered around 3.06 shekels; the Bank of Israel’s official representative rate for October 5 was not verified.

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Lebanon · SecurityPress ✓ 3 outlets · shelling reports attributed to Lebanese state media

Israel continued shelling in south Lebanon; Netanyahu: we will keep striking Hezbollah and look for an opportunity for peace

According to tracking by the US Council on Foreign Relations (CFR), based on Lebanese state media, the villages of Haddatha and Bar’ashit in south Lebanon were shelled on October 5. Netanyahu said the same day that Israel will keep striking Hezbollah while trying to create an opportunity for peace with Lebanon. No casualty figures for the day were found.

The fighting is taking place under a ceasefire dating from June 19. According to Long War Journal, the IDF is shifting in south Lebanon to a forward-defense posture and preparing for winter, and ynet reported, citing security officials, that Hezbollah used the period to prepare the ground. DailyDrop stresses that these are reports from different sides with no independent confirmation from the field.

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In brief
  • Times of Israel: Israel assesses that other flydubai crew members were not involvedTimes of Israel
  • Shin Bet agents are taking part in the co-pilot investigation in the Emirates, according to a reportTimes of Israel
  • The Transport Ministry issued a new security directive for foreign flights to IsraelTimes of Israel
  • The pilot has no second citizenship, according to sources cited in the Jerusalem PostJerusalem Post
  • The flydubai investigation has widened to New ZealandWashington Post
  • Haaretz: campaign strategies in the final week before the electionHaaretz
  • Gold closed at $4,156.8, down 0.13%Closing data
  • The report of 260 demonstrations around the anniversary of October 7 has not yet been verified in a second sourceTimes of Israel
Seven minutes every morning, one front page

Unverified — what we could not confirm

“The pilot acted on behalf of Iran.” Trump hinted at such a link, according to the Washington Post, but presented no details; Netanyahu spoke of Islamist radicalization. There is no public evidence of acting on behalf of a state.
“The agreement with the Emirates bars pilots from Oman.” The claim was published in the Jerusalem Post, citing a Transport Ministry source; other sources cited in the paper later said the agreement does not restrict pilots’ citizenship.
“Regev ignored three warnings.” Channel 12, according to the Times of Israel. Regev claimed on X that the ministry received no warnings. No confirmation from a second source.
Glossary · dotted words — economics, law, security and science terms explained in the context of the story. The list grows every day.
INSIDEThe flydubai affair: co-pilot reportedly planned to crash at Ben Gurion Airport; Israel assesses that the rest of the crew was not involvedSecurity · Aviation21 days to the election: polls are tight and the campaigns brace for the final weekPolitics · ElectionIran: Strait of Hormuz to stay closed until the US accepts the conditions; Trump rejected the offerIran · DiplomacyWall Street up 0.66%; TA-35 closed on October 5 at about 4,224 pointsEconomy · MarketsIsrael continued shelling in south Lebanon; Netanyahu: we will keep striking Hezbollah and look for an opportunity for peaceLebanon · Security