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Weather · TyphoonPress ✓ 8 outlets · north or west turn after the 22nd undetermined

Severe Typhoon Jangmi forecast to peak in intensity today; Central Weather Administration says a sea warning could come as early as Wednesday night

Multiple outlets report that severe Typhoon Jangmi is forecast to peak in intensity on the 19th; the Weather Administration says a sea typhoon warning could be issued as early as the evening of the 21st, and after the 22nd both a northward and a westward track remain possible.

By the 18th, Typhoon Jangmi (薔琵) was being called a severe typhoon in reports by the United Daily News, China Times, ETtoday, Liberty Times and SET News. CNA reported on the 16th that the Weather Administration then described Jangmi as still a tropical storm, expected to strengthen into a typhoon within 24 hours, with its later track still uncertain; at that time Jangmi was in the sea east of Guam. Focus Taiwan (CNA's English service) reported on the 17th that Jangmi that day lay about 2,980 kilometers east-southeast of Taiwan's southern tip, moving west at 22 kilometers per hour, and that the Weather Administration said Jangmi could approach or cross Taiwan next week. The Liberty Times and SET News, citing forecasters, said Jangmi is expected to reach its first intensity peak on the 19th (today); SET News reported the forecast under the headline “High odds of striking Taiwan.” The United Daily News, China Times and ETtoday reported that the Weather Administration said a sea typhoon warning could be issued as early as the evening of the 21st (Wednesday), and possibly earlier if the typhoon speeds up; ETtoday had already reported this explanation on the 17th under the headline “Typhoon Jangmi speeds up,” while the China Times also reported the rain hot spots published by the Weather Administration; the Taipei Times, the Liberty Times' English edition, carried the same account on the 19th. The United Daily News also reported that the most noticeable impact would come on Friday and Saturday, the 23rd and 24th, when rain is expected islandwide, with locally heavy to torrential rain in the north, Yilan and Hualien.

The track is where the reports diverge most. Focus Taiwan, citing Weather Administration forecasters, said Jangmi is expected to reach the sea south of the Ryukyus around the 21st and lie in the sea east of Taiwan around the 22nd (Thursday), after which it may gradually turn north. The Weather Administration explained that the track depends on the Pacific High: if the high weakens markedly, the typhoon will turn north earlier; if it strengthens, the typhoon will turn closer to Taiwan and may even cross it. The Liberty Times reported two possibilities for now: turning north from the sea off the east coast, or passing west across Taiwan and possibly making landfall. Two other reports separately quoted weather experts, one saying the chance of a northward turn is low, the other saying forecasts are gradually leaning toward landfall. CNA also reported that over the weekend of the 24th and 25th, the northeast monsoon or the typhoon's outer circulation could bring more rain to the north and east. The Philippines' Philstar and Vietnamese media reported that Jangmi reached super typhoon strength when it entered the Philippine area of responsibility and is expected to weaken gradually afterward. As of reports on the 18th, the Weather Administration had not issued a sea or land typhoon warning.

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Society · Health insurancePress ✓ 3 outlets · implementing rules, start date and funding source unclear

Senior Citizens Welfare Act amendment passes third reading; central government to pay full health insurance premiums for eligible people 65 and older

On the 16th the Legislative Yuan passed on third reading an amendment to Article 22 of the Senior Citizens Welfare Act: for people aged 65 or older, or their legally obligated supporters, whose combined total comprehensive income in the most recent year is below the filing threshold, or whose comprehensive income tax rate is below 20%, health insurance premiums will instead be fully subsidized by the central competent authority. Min Pao, the Liberty Times and SET News reported that the vote was 60 to 39; the amendment was led by the Taiwan People's Party caucus, with the Kuomintang and the Taiwan People's Party cooperating to push it through; a reconsideration motion proposed afterward failed, with 39 in favor and 60 against. The recipients, items and standards of the subsidy will be set later in separate rules by the central competent authority. Health and Welfare Minister Shih Chung-liang opposed it, saying the core of health insurance is contributions based on ability to pay and mutual benefit, and that a subsidy must still be borne by other groups or by taxpayers; he estimated that if people aged 15 to 64 bear it, each would pay on average more than 3,000 yuan more per year, and if tax revenue covers it, each household would pay on average about 8,000 yuan more per year (Min Pao, Liberty Times). Seven medical groups including the Taiwan Hospital Association issued a joint statement opposing it, saying financial estimates and impact assessments are lacking. Premier Cho Jung-tai criticized Legislative Yuan Speaker Han Kuo-yu for letting opposition lawmakers lead an unconstitutional move, and the Executive Yuan said it would take constitutional countermeasures.

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Politics · ElectionPress ✓ 5 outlets · campaign headquarters staff list and duties not yet announced

Lu Shiow-yen confirms she will chair Chiang Wan-an's campaign headquarters; the campaign team will announce its key staff at 2 p.m. today

Taichung Mayor Lu Shiow-yen, interviewed on the 18th in Hsinchu City while attending the opening of Ko Hung-an's campaign headquarters, confirmed that three days earlier she had agreed to serve as chair of Taipei Mayor Chiang Wan-an's campaign headquarters. The United Daily News reported that Chiang Wan-an personally confirmed the arrangement the same day. ETtoday and the United Daily News reported that Chiang Wan-an's campaign headquarters plans to hold a press conference at 2 p.m. on the 19th (today) to announce Lu Shiow-yen as chair and to unveil the campaign team's key staff. World Journal reported the appointment under the headline “Tapping appeal to centrist voters.”

On Aug. 1, Lu Shiow-yen had already become chair of the campaign headquarters of Chiang Chi-chen, the Kuomintang's candidate for Taichung mayor; CNA reported that she said at the time that Chiang Chi-chen was the best person to succeed her. Chiang Wan-an is seeking re-election; his opponent is the Democratic Progressive Party's Puma Shen. ETtoday's headline described the 19th press conference as Lu Shiow-yen and Chiang Wan-an joining forces to fight the “ocean current” (洋流); CNA reported that Puma Shen's camp has, since Oct. 11, been holding a motorcade canvassing event called “Taipei Ocean Current” (台北大洋流).

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World · EuropePress ✓ 3 outlets · cause of violence and casualty details unclear

Anti-high-prices protests in France turn violent; Interior Ministry: 2,397 arrested nationwide, 997 police and gendarmes injured

French Interior Minister Laurent Nuñez said that 110 anti-high-prices marches were held nationwide on the 17th (Saturday), with 110,000 people on the streets of Paris, and that many places turned into violent clashes. The Interior Ministry counts 2,397 people arrested nationwide and 997 police officers and gendarmes injured; Paris police said 855 were arrested in the greater Paris area (France 24, CNN, U.S. News & World Report). The nearly 400 arrests CNN reported earlier was a partial daytime count for the day, and Nuñez said more arrests would follow in the coming days.

Writing on X, Nuñez said that protest is a fundamental right, but deliberately and collectively causing chaos through violence is not. He mentioned that hundreds of shops had been looted in Paris, Marseille, Lyon and Bordeaux; the BHV Marais department store in central Paris was broken into, and police fired tear gas and stun grenades at crowds around Les Halles. U.S. President Trump wrote in a Truth Social post “France is burning,” linking the unrest to immigration; French authorities and police did not link the violence to immigration, and attributed some of it to far-left radical groups.

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Finance · EnergyPress ✓ 4 outlets · Legislative Yuan review outcome and electricity rate adjustment undecided

Executive Yuan's 180.9 billion yuan supplementary budget awaits review; Ministry of Economic Affairs, citing the Middle East conflict, urges support to stabilize energy prices

The Executive Yuan approved a supplementary budget on Oct. 1 totaling 180.935 billion yuan, including 101.431 billion yuan for CPC and 71.104 billion yuan for Taipower, plus 8.4 billion yuan for related oil companies; TTV News and Newtalk reported that Premier Cho Jung-tai urged the Legislative Yuan to pass it on third reading by the end of November. The Liberty Times and United Daily News reported that the Ministry of Economic Affairs explained that international oil and natural gas prices are far above the estimates used when the budget for ROC Year 115 was drawn up in August last year, and that without a supplementary budget, CPC and Taipower would struggle to keep playing their role in stabilizing prices.

On the 18th the Ministry of Economic Affairs again appealed for support for the supplementary budget, saying that besides arranging oil and gas shipping schedules and fuel dispatch, CPC and Taipower also act as the front-line “breakwater” against price rises (Liberty Times, United Daily News). The ministry noted that compared with before the war, Brent crude has risen 66%, while Taiwan's gasoline prices are up 14% and diesel up 12%, and Japan and South Korea have also adopted subsidy measures; Taipower's electricity-rate reviews in both April and October this year decided not to raise rates for now, and household natural gas and bottled gas prices are frozen until year-end, while whether to adjust electricity rates will be decided depending on the Legislative Yuan's review of the supplementary budget.

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In brief
  • Trump backs NetanyahuOn the 18th Trump posted on Truth Social calling Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu a “great warrior prime minister”; Israel holds its general election on the 27th (Jerusalem Post, Jewish Telegraphic Agency, Axios).
  • Drone attack on St. PetersburgGovernor Beglov said at least 1 person died and 5 were injured, and Russia's Defense Ministry said it intercepted 1,015 Ukrainian drones overnight (Al Jazeera, France 24, ABC News).
  • Fire at Canadian military basePrime Minister Carney said a fire at the Wainwright base in Alberta killed 4 service members and seriously injured dozens; the cause is still under investigation (PBS, NBC, CNN).
  • Dragons win Taiwan Series openerThe Wei Chuan Dragons shut out the CTBC Brothers 3-0 at the Taipei Dome on the 17th; Chiang Han pitched 8 scoreless innings, and the Brothers had only 2 hits all game (Mirror Media, CNA, CTS).
  • Tainan undergrounding opensThe new Tainan Station is open, linked to the old station, a national monument, by a sunken plaza; Linsen Station is expected to open at the end of 2029 and South Tainan Station in 2030 (CNA, United Daily News).
  • Macron on police conductOn the 18th Macron said in a statement that police conduct would be handled with complete transparency, and that those who tried to overthrow the Republic would be held accountable (France 24, U.S. News & World Report).
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Unverified — what we could not confirm

Jangmi will definitely make landfall in Taiwan, and work and classes will be suspended during the long holiday and next week. The Liberty Times and CNA, citing the Weather Administration, say that around the 22nd there are two possibilities, a northward turn from the sea off the east coast or passing west across Taiwan; in the reports of the 18th the Weather Administration had not issued any warning.
Only about 400 people were arrested in France's march on the 17th. The 400 was CNN's partial daytime count; the French Interior Ministry later counted 2,397 arrested nationwide, and Paris police said 855 in the greater Paris area (France 24, CNN, U.S. News & World Report).
Ukraine sent out more than 1,000 drones on the 18th, the biggest attack in St. Petersburg's history. 1,015 is the interception figure given by Russia's Defense Ministry; the biggest-attack claim comes from TASS, and ABC News repeated it while noting it was not independently confirmed.
Glossary · dotted words — economics, law, security and science terms explained in the context of the story. The list grows every day.
INSIDESevere Typhoon Jangmi forecast to peak in intensity today; Central Weather Administration says a sea warning could come as early as Wednesday nightWeather · TyphoonSenior Citizens Welfare Act amendment passes third reading; central government to pay full health insurance premiums for eligible people 65 and olderSociety · Health insuranceLu Shiow-yen confirms she will chair Chiang Wan-an's campaign headquarters; the campaign team will announce its key staff at 2 p.m. todayPolitics · ElectionAnti-high-prices protests in France turn violent; Interior Ministry: 2,397 arrested nationwide, 997 police and gendarmes injuredWorld · EuropeExecutive Yuan's 180.9 billion yuan supplementary budget awaits review; Ministry of Economic Affairs, citing the Middle East conflict, urges support to stabilize energy pricesFinance · Energy