—PFTS · trading closed for the weekend; the Oct. 9 close could not be confirmed

DailyDrop.

44.8526USD/UAH · official NBU rate in effect for the weekend · −0.03%; for Monday 44.8894
PFTS—USD/UAH44.85▼0.03%10/9S&P 5007,811.54▲0.59%10/9WTI$91.85▲0.39%10/9Gold$4,216.30▲1.43%10/9
Ukraine · WarPress ✓ 5 outlets · figures rose over the course of the day

Russian aerial bomb hits five-story building in Zaporizhzhia: 20 dead, three of them children

Saturday morning’s strike destroyed a residential building. Rescuers pulled people from the rubble for more than eight hours; in some reports the death toll kept rising throughout the day.

On Saturday, October 10, at about 04:48, Russian aircraft struck a five-story residential building in Zaporizhzhia with guided aerial bombs, reported Ivan Fedorov, head of the regional military administration (OVA) (Ukrainska Pravda, Slovo i Dilo). At first seven dead, three of them children, and ten wounded were reported; then Fedorov named eight dead and 16 wounded. By midday the State Emergency Service had confirmed 17 dead, and as of 19:31, 20 dead and 18 wounded.

Rescuers spent more than eight hours clearing the rubble and pulled a woman out alive (Ukrainska Pravda). We do not have a final number of victims as of Sunday morning: the search was expected to continue, and the figures are being updated. This is the second mass guided-bomb strike on a city in three days, after Kramatorsk on October 8.

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By the numbers
20dead as of 19:31 according to the State Emergency Service
3children among the dead
18wounded as of 19:31
Ukraine · WarPress ✓ 4 outlets · Air Force data

160 drones in one night, 110 of them jet-powered: Shahed drones reach Lviv and Ivano-Frankivsk

On the night of October 10 Russia launched 160 attack and decoy drones, including 110 jet-powered Shahed drones, the Air Force reported (Ukrainska Pravda, Fakty, Slovo i Dilo). As of 09:00 air defense had shot down or suppressed 117 targets, 82 of them jet-powered; hits were recorded at 14 locations, and at another 10 downed drones or debris fell.

According to TSN and Slovo i Dilo, jet-powered drones reached Lviv for the first time — air defense shot down a drone near the city — and Ivano-Frankivsk, where explosions were heard. Previously such drones operated mainly in the east and the center.

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Word of the day
decoyword of the day

A cheap drone without a warhead that diverts air defense from the real targets.


World · SanctionsPress ✓ 2 outlets · the source is Axios; the American side partly denies it

Axios: Trump agreed to Russian diesel after Kyiv refused to stop strikes on refineries

The Ukrainian outlet Ukrainska Pravda relays an Axios report: Donald Trump agreed to ease sanctions on Russian diesel exports after Ukraine refused a US request to stop strikes on oil refineries. An American official, according to the same material, partly refuted this version. Earlier, on October 9, Trump himself wrote on Truth Social about Russia supplying more than 300,000 tonnes of diesel.

On October 8, responding to Rubio’s words, Zelensky said that one cannot pursue economic projects with Moscow and at the same time say that negotiations have reached a dead end (Ukrainska Pravda). Kyiv Post writes that Kyiv will keep striking refineries despite the deal, and analysts doubt that Russia will fulfil its export promises: refining is running at 60% of capacity.

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Diplomacy · PeacePress ✓ 3 outlets · statements by the parties

Talks in Miami on October 9–10: Washington discusses energy deals with Russia with Kyiv as an incentive for concessions

Ukrainska Pravda reported that Ukrainian and American negotiators were due to meet on October 9–10, and that Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, according to its material, briefed the Ukrainians and European representatives on possible energy deals with Russia that Washington hopes to use as an incentive for concessions in the talks. One American proposal, according to Ukrainska Pravda, involves halting strikes on energy and on grain shipping.

We have not seen a final statement on the outcome of the meeting, so this report should be treated as preliminary. Zelensky earlier spoke of a new trilateral meeting before the end of October, and Moscow has not yet agreed.

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Economy · Week in reviewNBU and US exchange data

Week in review: hryvnia nearly flat, S&P 500 +1.15%, gold +1.3%, WTI oil +0.8%

Over five trading days the S&P 500 rose from 7,722.72 points (October 2) to 7,811.54 (October 9), or 1.15%. Gold went up from $4,162.3 to $4,216.3 an ounce (+1.30%), WTI crude from $91.11 to $91.85 a barrel (+0.81%). It is not a record move, but the week was tense: the strikes on Pryluky, Kramatorsk and Zaporizhzhia did not stop the markets from rising.

The official NBU rate changed little over the same period: 44.8333 UAH per dollar on October 2, a peak of 45.0564 on October 6 and 44.8526 on October 9. For Monday, October 12, the NBU set 44.8894. We could not confirm the PFTS index for the week.

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In brief
  • Zaporizhzhia: 20 dead, three of them children.Ukrainska Pravda
  • 160 drones, 110 of them jet-powered; air defense suppressed 117.Fakty
  • Jet-powered Shahed drones reached Lviv.Slovo i Dilo
  • Miami: talks between the Ukrainian delegation and US envoys.Ukrainska Pravda
  • Axios: Trump agreed to Russian diesel.Ukrainska Pravda
  • The NBU weekend rate is 44.8526 UAH per dollar.kurs.com.ua
  • Kramatorsk: 33 dead in the strike on buses (October 8).UkraNews
Seven minutes every morning, one front page

Unverified — what we could not confirm

“No one in Zaporizhzhia could be rescued from the rubble.” Ukrainska Pravda reported that a woman was pulled out alive after more than eight hours of searching; there were 17 dead, and by evening 20.
“Trump has already signed a diesel deal with Putin.” There are Axios reports and Trump’s post on Truth Social; an American official partly denied it. We have not seen a document (Ukrainska Pravda, Kyiv Post).
“Jet-powered drones still fly only over the east.” On October 10 jet-powered Shahed drones reached Lviv and Ivano-Frankivsk; one was shot down near Lviv (Slovo i Dilo, TSN).
Glossary · dotted words — economics, law, security and science terms explained in the context of the story. The list grows every day.
INSIDERussian aerial bomb hits five-story building in Zaporizhzhia: 20 dead, three of them childrenUkraine · War160 drones in one night, 110 of them jet-powered: Shahed drones reach Lviv and Ivano-FrankivskUkraine · WarAxios: Trump agreed to Russian diesel after Kyiv refused to stop strikes on refineriesWorld · SanctionsTalks in Miami on October 9–10: Washington discusses energy deals with Russia with Kyiv as an incentive for concessionsDiplomacy · PeaceWeek in review: hryvnia nearly flat, S&P 500 +1.15%, gold +1.3%, WTI oil +0.8%Economy · Week in review