North Korean Workers’ Party General Affairs Department director Kim Yo-jong said in a statement on the 19th that the situation on the southern border is highly unstable (Yonhap, Kyunghyang Shinmun). Kim said the military leadership is reviewing both a reinforced deployment of tactical strike assets near the southern border line and resuming loudspeaker broadcasts toward South Korea (Asia Economy, Hankook Ilbo). She added that other steps are also being considered. Kim claimed that the Lee Jae-myung government’s confrontation moves far surpass those of the Yoon Suk-yeol government (Yonhap, Korea Economic Daily). Jaekyung Ilbo reported that Kim claimed South Korean warning broadcasts numbered 2,870 and warning shots 201 from August 1 to October 17.
Loudspeaker broadcasts are a psychological-warfare tool the two Koreas aim at each other, so whether they resume has served as a signal of how tense the border is. That the statement tied the broadcasts to deploying strike assets is a step above a merely verbal warning. With the South Korean government having stopped its broadcasts first, the two sides’ actions have fallen out of step.
If you live in a border area, keep in mind that noise broadcasts could start again. Markets and the exchange rate often react briefly to North Korea risk, so it is worth watching the early session.
Newdaily and others criticized the North, which carried out the mine provocation, for blaming the South instead and called it brazen. From this view, the South Korean military’s warning broadcasts and warning shots are a legitimate response and there is no reason to back down.
An expert analysis reported by Jaekyung Ilbo saw the statement as a calculation to keep the work of fortifying the border line from being disrupted and to shift blame for clashes onto the South. Because the North framed it as a review, another reading is that it is closer to a pressure message than actual action.
All that is confirmed is what the statement said; an actual resumption of broadcasts or movement of strike assets has not been confirmed. Today we watch for official reactions from the Joint Chiefs of Staff and the Ministry of Unification, and for whether noise broadcasts are actually heard in border areas.
Yonhap (Kim Yo-jong statement, breaking and roundup, 10/19) · Kyunghyang Shinmun (Kim Yo-jong statement, 10/19) · Korea Economic Daily (reviewing resuming loudspeakers, 10/19) · Chosun Ilbo (claim of confrontation moves, 10/19) · Dong-A Ilbo (tactical strike buildup, 10/19)
Kim Yo-jong: “Southern border extremely unstable”… North reviews resuming loudspeaker broadcasts, reinforcing tactical strike assets
General Affairs Department director Kim Yo-jong took issue with the South Korean military’s warning broadcasts and warning shots in a statement on the 19th and raised resuming loudspeaker broadcasts.
North Korean Workers’ Party General Affairs Department director Kim Yo-jong said in a statement on the 19th that “the situation on the southern border is now highly unstable” and that the North is reviewing whether to resume loudspeaker broadcasts toward South Korea, Yonhap and Kyunghyang Shinmun reported. According to Asia Economy and Hankook Ilbo, Kim said the North’s military leadership is also reviewing, as a “preemptive and overpowering measure,” a reinforced deployment of tactical strike assets near the southern border line, and is weighing any other steps it deems necessary. Korea Economic Daily and Chosun Ilbo carried the same account and reported that the statement was aimed at the South Korean military’s response. After the statement came out, Dong-A Ilbo headlined that Kim had made a threat by invoking a “tactical strike buildup,” and Newdaily described it as brazen blame-shifting after the mine provocation. Kyunghyang Shinmun reported that the statement was released through the Korean Central News Agency. Kim also claimed that “the Lee government’s anti-republic confrontation moves far surpass those of the Yoon government,” Yonhap and Korea Economic Daily reported.
What Kim took issue with is the South Korean military’s response along the Military Demarcation Line. Jaekyung Ilbo reported that Kim claimed South Korean forces carried out loudspeaker warning broadcasts 2,870 times and fired warning shots 201 times from August 1 to October 17. According to Jaekyung Ilbo, Kim cited, among others, DMZ guard posts of the Army’s 7th, 15th, 21st and 22nd divisions on the central and eastern fronts. Seoul Shinmun reported that Kim indicated the North would respond to South Korean warning shots. Newdaily and Jaekyung Ilbo reported that the statement came after a mine planted by North Korean troops exploded in the DMZ last month. The South Korean government had earlier stopped loudspeaker broadcasts toward the North and begun removing the loudspeakers, and Kim issued a statement last year saying the loudspeakers had never been removed. No reports said the North had actually resumed broadcasts or moved strike assets as of early on the 20th, and no official response from the Joint Chiefs of Staff had been confirmed.