The SRG SSR election barometer measures voting intentions a year before the 2027 elections. The SVP stands at 29.9 percent, the SP at 19.3 percent. The Centre and the FDP lose ground. Le Temps, 24 heures and the Tribune de Genève reported it.
The figures shape expectations for the elections and the parties’ strategies.
As a voter you can see which forces have a tailwind; your vote, however, only counts in October 2027.
The barometer is a snapshot with an uncertainty of one to two points.
Le Temps; 24 heures; Tribune de Genève
SVP near 30 percent, SP at its best reading: the SRG SSR barometer a year before the elections
Twelve months before the federal elections, the SVP and the left gain in the poll while the Centre and the FDP lose ground. A snapshot, not a forecast.
The latest election barometer of the SRG SSR puts the SVP at 29.9 percent of voting intentions. The SP would get 19.3 percent, according to Le Temps its best figure in this series of polls. The Centre and the FDP, by contrast, lose support. Le Temps reported the figures on Friday, as did 24 heures and the Tribune de Genève, which both belong to the same publisher. The SRG SSR is the public broadcaster of radio and television in Switzerland; it publishes the barometer about a year before election day in autumn 2027.
What the figures mean, and what they do not: a poll twelve months before an election measures mood, not outcome. Surveys of this kind usually have a margin of error of one to two percentage points, so changes of one point can hardly be told apart from chance. The direction is more striking: the two poles of the party system gain, the middle loses. Nor can national percentages be converted one to one into seats. The 200 seats in the National Council are allocated by proportional representation, canton by canton. Small cantons with few seats therefore work differently from large ones.
In parallel, the debate over the succession in the Federal Council is under way. The Vaud SVP National Councillor Yvan Pahud said in an interview with 24 heures that he will not run: “This is not the right moment.” He had been named as a possible successor to Federal Councillor Parmelin. So far the interview is documented only by 24 heures; no second outlet has confirmed it. Our sources also do not show that Parmelin has announced his resignation; the mention of the name shows above all that the parties are already starting to play personnel games.
It is open whether other institutes measure similar values. A second, independent poll is still to come, and only a pattern across several surveys would support the trend. Until then the rule is: the barometer shows which topics and parties currently have momentum, but it decides nothing. In the coming months the main questions will probably be whether the Centre can stop its losses and how the electorate behaves ahead of the drawing up of the lists. Another point is mobilization: whether voters actually cast their ballots often decides the balance between the camps in Switzerland, and turnout cannot be estimated seriously a year in advance. We will keep reporting as soon as further measurements are available.