Politics · ✓ 3 outlets
Coalition maths: neither bloc has a clear majority without Opportunity
Seat projections from the RNZ-Reid poll differ by outlet: interest.co.nz has Labour 37, Greens 18 and Opportunity 6 (61 of 120); the Otago Daily Times has Opportunity on seven and no bloc with a majority without it (interest.co.nz, ODT, Canberra Times/AAP). The late-September 1News-Verian poll had the left bloc on 65 seats against 59 for National, NZ First and ACT, with Opportunity at 6%.
A small party can decide who becomes prime minister.
Your party vote determines the party seats, so a vote for a party under 5% may be wasted unless it wins an electorate.
Projections use the poll's rounding and assumptions about electorates, so treat them as ranges.
DailyDrop New Zealand edition No. 3 · Morning · WED., OCT. 7, 2026