5,554.22KOSPI · Oct 15 close · −7.57% · seventh straight day of decline; Kosdaq 760.82 (−7.65%)

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1,342.3 wonWon per dollar · Oct 16 early-morning quote · up 1.47 won · Seoul 3:30 p.m. reference rate 1,344.6 won, intraday in the 1,350s
S&P 500—Nasdaq—KOSPI5,554.22▼7.57%10/15KOSDAQ760.82▼7.65%10/15USD/KRW1,342.3▲1.5 KRW10/16WTI—
Markets · StocksPress ✓ 7 outlets · index per exchange tally

‘Black Thursday’: KOSPI plunges 7.57% to 5,554.22. Circuit breakers hit the Kosdaq as well

A U.S. inflation shock and the debate over AI profitability collided. Samsung Electronics fell 9% and SK hynix 11%, and the won-dollar rate climbed at one point into the 1,350s

The KOSPI closed on the 15th down 7.57% (454.59 points) at 5,554.22 (Dong-A Ilbo, Electronic Times). The previous close was 6,008.81; it opened at 5,673.01 that day and slid steadily (Electronic Times). It was the seventh straight day of decline (Dong-A Ilbo). The Kosdaq ended down 7.65% (63.06 points) at 760.82 (Electronic Times). In the morning a sell-side sidecar was triggered in both markets (Dong-A Ilbo, Electronic Times), and at midday a stage-1 circuit breaker hit the Kosdaq at 12:23 p.m. and the KOSPI at 12:38 p.m. (Electronic Times). Trading on the Kosdaq resumed after a 20-minute halt (Korea Economic Daily), and the KOSPI also resumed soon after (Yonhap, Korea Economic Daily). SBS said the drop briefly exceeded 8%, while Dong-A Ilbo reported the KOSPI fell more than 9% intraday. Samsung Electronics fell 9% and SK hynix 11%, the biggest drops since late July (Yonhap). Yonhap reported that the market capitalization of listed companies in Korea shrank by more than 400 trillion won in a single day.

The causes cited were a U.S. inflation shock and the debate over the profitability of artificial intelligence (AI) investment (Dong-A Ilbo, Electronic Times, Yonhap). Dong-A Ilbo and Electronic Times both pointed to worries over debt piled up by AI data center investment, the so-called ‘CoreWeave shock’. Korea Economic Daily reported that CDS on CoreWeave, Oracle and SoftBank soared together (Korea Economic Daily single report). Yonhap noted that U.S., Japanese and Taiwanese stocks fell only 1.9–4.9%, making the KOSPI drop unusually large, and the Nikkei index plunged 4.9%. Foreigners drove the flows. Dong-A Ilbo said foreigners sold more than 5 trillion won that day, and Yonhap reported net selling of nearly 18 trillion won this month, eight straight trading days. The won-dollar rate climbed at one point into the 1,350s, its highest in nine trading days (Yonhap, SBS), and the 3:30 p.m. reference rate was 1,344.6 won, up 6.3 won (Yonhap single report). U.S. producer prices came out after the Korean market closed. They rose 1.3% in September from the previous month, the biggest since March 2022 (Chosun Ilbo, Yonhap News TV). Korea Economic Daily and News1 reported 6.3% on an annual basis. Today, watch whether a rebound comes and whether foreign selling continues.

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By the numbers
7.57%KOSPI drop on the 15th, closing at 5,554.22 (Dong-A Ilbo, Electronic Times)
400 trillion won+Market capitalization of listed companies wiped out in one day (Yonhap)
7 sessionsConsecutive days of KOSPI decline (Dong-A Ilbo, Yonhap)
Security · North KoreaPress ✓ 5 outlets · specifications unconfirmed

North Korea: “Test-fired two types of submarine-launched strategic cruise missiles in the East Sea on the 14th”

North Korea's Korean Central News Agency reported on the 15th that the Missile Administration test-fired two types of submarine-launched strategic cruise missiles in the East Sea on the 14th (Yonhap, Kyunghyang Shinmun, News1, Money Today). Reuters carried the same report. Kyunghyang Shinmun asked whether the aim was to show off ‘mixed-salvo’ firing, shooting different missiles in succession underwater. The missiles' specifications and range, and the South Korean military's assessment, have not yet been confirmed.

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Word of the day
Cruise missileSecurity

A missile that flies low on wings and an engine. Unlike a ballistic missile, which rises in an arc and drops, it can change course in flight.


Security · DiplomacyPress ✓ 6 outlets · what the U.S. asked for is a Kyunghyang Shinmun exclusive

Seoul and Washington spar over OPCON transfer. U.S. Forces Korea commander says “conditions have changed”; Defense Ministry: “It is impossible if the goalposts keep moving”

After the U.S. Forces Korea commander, Xavier Brunson, said that conditions for transferring wartime operational control (OPCON) had changed and a ‘new standard’ had emerged (Yonhap, Korea Economic Daily, Chosun Ilbo, Hankyoreh), Ministry of National Defense spokesperson Jung Bit-na rebutted on the 15th, in effect saying that if the target keeps being moved, the transfer will never happen (Yonhap). Yonhap reported that talks between Seoul and Washington to complete verification of the Future Combined Forces Command's full operational capability (FOC), the government's goal for this year, are struggling. Dong-A Ilbo reported that Commander Brunson said, in effect, that with no peace within the ruling camp, it is hard to see how a peace regime can be built (Dong-A Ilbo single report).

In an exclusive, Kyunghyang Shinmun reported that in the talks the United States demanded stronger counter-fire capabilities such as Chunmoo multiple rocket launchers and better performance of surveillance and reconnaissance drones, and that the government pushed back, calling it ‘moving the goalposts’ (Kyunghyang Shinmun single report). Yonhap noted that with talks stalled, attention is on whether the government will try to break through with a leader-level ‘top-down’ approach. What the new standard is, specifically, has not been confirmed pending an official explanation from both sides.

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Politics · JusticePress ✓ 8 outlets · whether a warrant is issued is undecided

Special counsel asks Supreme Court to issue additional detention warrant for Kim Keon Hee. Detention expires on the 31st

The special counsel team for Kim Keon Hee (special counsel Min Joong-ki) on the 15th filed a request with the Supreme Court to issue a detention warrant ex officio for Kim Keon Hee, whose detention period is nearing expiry (Dong-A Ilbo, Kyunghyang Shinmun, Yonhap, KBS). The request was made to the bench in the case of violating the Act on the Aggravated Punishment of Specific Crimes (influence peddling), and the detention expires on the 31st of this month (Dong-A Ilbo, Kyunghyang Shinmun). Kyunghyang Shinmun said this is Division 2 of the Supreme Court, which handles the final appeal in the ‘sale of public office’ allegations.

A warrant is issued by the bench on its own authority, so the court's judgment must be awaited. When and how the bench will decide has not yet been reported. Hankyoreh noted that whether she is released is at stake if the detention lapses on the 31st. The special counsel's request asks the court to judge again whether detention is necessary; no conclusion has been reached.

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Politics · JusticePress ✓ 5 outlets · how the false entries happened is under investigation

National Election Commission special counsel: “Voter counts falsely entered at 30 sites nationwide.” Raids on seven sites including the central commission

The election commission special counsel, led by special counsel Lee Tae-han, on the 15th carried out a search and seizure at seven sites: the central election commission, four city and provincial commissions and two city, county and district commissions (Dong-A Ilbo, Yonhap, Chosun Ilbo). The special counsel said it had identified signs that hourly voter counts were falsely entered at 30 city, county and district election commissions nationwide, including Seoul's Guro, Mapo and Seongbuk, on the day of the June 3 local elections (Dong-A Ilbo, Chosun Ilbo). 25 were added to the 5 that had been under investigation (Dong-A Ilbo).

The same day, the special counsel also raided 10 more sites including the Busan election commission, citing signs of favoritism in granting an exclusive contract for storing election supplies (Yonhap, Korea Economic Daily). Who ordered the false entries, and whether they relate to the actual voting results, has not yet been confirmed. A raid is a procedure for securing evidence; whether there was wrongdoing will be settled in the investigation and trial.

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In brief
  • Shin Jin-seo beat Byun Sang-il to win the Lanke Cup and claim his 10th career major title.Yonhap and 2 other reports
  • HMM said it will invest 2.2 trillion won in 12 container ships. The aim is to strengthen its fleet's competitiveness.Yonhap · single report
  • Korean Air's third-quarter revenue was a record 5.0488 trillion won. Operating profit rose 12%.Yonhap · single report
  • TSMC's third-quarter net profit rose 68.7%, extending its record streak to a sixth straight quarter. It said the AI boom was behind it.Yonhap · single report
  • Choi Hye-jin shot a 64 in the first round of the LPGA Shanghai event and took a solo lead by three strokes.Yonhap · single report
  • Son Heung-min scored his seventh MLS goal of the season, and LAFC won for the first time in five games.Yonhap and 3 other reports
  • The Seoul Transportation Corporation union voted for a labor dispute. It said it will strike if negotiations make no progress.Yonhap · single report
  • Japanese airlines will raise international fuel surcharges again for November. It is the fallout of the oil price surge.Yonhap · single report
Seven minutes every morning, one front page

Unverified — what we could not confirm

“The Houthis fired missiles at Medina, a holy city of Islam.” The Saudi-led coalition said it intercepted cruise missiles in the Medina area. The Houthis immediately denied it as a lie (Kyunghyang Shinmun, Yonhap). No independent confirmation has emerged.
“The hypersonic glide vehicle South Korea unveiled may not have flown.” A claim from the North Korean side. It cited the absence of visible soot after the flight (Yonhap single report). The South Korean military's response has not been confirmed.
“Importing Brazilian eggs wasted 80 billion won.” President Lee Jae-myung said the imports were small, trial-scale and the claim false, and the Ministry of Agriculture, Food and Rural Affairs explained that freight and tariff costs exceeded the purchase price (Yonhap single report).
Glossary · dotted words — economics, law, security and science terms explained in the context of the story. The list grows every day.
INSIDE‘Black Thursday’: KOSPI plunges 7.57% to 5,554.22. Circuit breakers hit the Kosdaq as wellMarkets · StocksNorth Korea: “Test-fired two types of submarine-launched strategic cruise missiles in the East Sea on the 14th”Security · North KoreaSeoul and Washington spar over OPCON transfer. U.S. Forces Korea commander says “conditions have changed”; Defense Ministry: “It is impossible if the goalposts keep moving”Security · DiplomacySpecial counsel asks Supreme Court to issue additional detention warrant for Kim Keon Hee. Detention expires on the 31stPolitics · JusticeNational Election Commission special counsel: “Voter counts falsely entered at 30 sites nationwide.” Raids on seven sites including the central commissionPolitics · Justice