—PFTS · Monday, Oct. 12; the close could not be confirmed by two sources

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44.95USD/UAH · official NBU rate for Oct. 13 · +0.07 hryvnias to 44.88
PFTS—USD/UAH44.95▲0.16%10/13S&P 5007,811.54▲0.59%10/9WTI$91.85▲0.39%10/9Gold$4,216.30▲1.43%10/9
Ukraine · WarPress ✓ 6 outlets · data from the Kyiv City Military Administration and the president

A Shahed killed two people in a Kyiv high-rise; later ballistic missiles hit the capital before the air-raid alert

On the evening of Oct. 12 Kharkiv and Vinnytsia were also under attack. Zelensky says Ukraine did not strike Russian energy on the night of Oct. 12, while Russia struck Ukrainian energy.

On Monday evening, Oct. 12, a Russian Shahed drone hit a 25-floor residential building in Kyiv’s Darnytskyi district (Kyiv City Military Administration (KCMA); NV, Ukrainska Pravda, RBC-Ukraine, Kyiv Post). Zelensky reported in Telegram two dead and nine wounded; rescuers put out the fire. Rubryka wrote of 11 casualties, so the final figure may change. According to Kyiv Independent, Russian drones attacked Kyiv both in the morning and in the evening: a woman was killed and 14 people were hurt. Kyiv Post adds that during the day drone debris wounded at least four people in Kyiv, and in the Pecherskyi district debris from a downed drone started a fire; according to the same outlet, one person was killed in an attack in Dnipro, and 19 were wounded in Kharkiv, among them two children.

Later in the evening powerful explosions rang out in Kyiv, and the air-raid alert was announced only after them (NV, RBC-Ukraine, Ukrainska Pravda, Kyiv Independent). NV and RBC-Ukraine write that Russia struck with ballistic missiles. Channel 24 counted at least six explosions, and Ukrainska Pravda reported a hit on transport infrastructure. Kyiv Independent reported powerful explosions in the city center, and sirens and phone alerts, it says, went off only afterward. We have seen no confirmed data on dead or wounded from this strike. Why the warning came late has not been officially explained: there is no such explanation in the sources, so it remains an open question for the Air Force and the city authorities. An expert with the callsign “Flash,” cited by NV and RBC-Ukraine, believes that the US will not leave Ukraine without intelligence on ballistic missile launches.

That same evening three “Banderols” hit Kharkiv’s Kholodnohirskyi district: there are wounded, and in a multi-story building an entrance has been destroyed — according to RBC-Ukraine, people may be under the rubble (RBC-Ukraine, NV, Suspilne). Earlier Russia struck the Roshen factory in Vinnytsia; the company confirmed a hit on a production building (UNN, RBC-Ukraine). All this is happening against the backdrop of the “energy truce” that Trump announced on Sunday and the Kremlin has not confirmed.

Zelensky called it terror against civilians in Telegram: the Russians, he said, hit residential buildings and take lives. NV writes that the drone hit a residential complex where Dynamo Kyiv midfielder Oleksandr Pikhalyonok lives with his family; whether it is the same building is not specified in the sources. Separately, western Ukraine was attacked: in Rivne region, according to Suspilne, a non-residential building was damaged, and RBC-Ukraine reports that some schools in the region are switching to distance learning. In Lozova in Kharkiv region, according to Ukrainska Pravda, a woman was killed and seven people were wounded.

Kyiv is also preparing for infrastructure problems. Kyivvodokanal, according to RBC-Ukraine, says that the Bortnychi aeration station, the main wastewater treatment plant, cannot be stopped by two or three strikes because of its area and duplicated systems, and it has a plan for diverting sewage in case the collectors are damaged. The Kyiv City Military Administration explained how schools will operate during power and water outages (NV).

What this means. A strike on a residential building is not about energy, so even a functioning “energy truce” would not protect against such attacks. The alert is a separate issue: if ballistic missiles arrive before the signal, people have less time to reach shelter. The final casualty figures should be clarified by the Kyiv City Military Administration and rescuers, so it is worth waiting for updates. The practical advice is unchanged: go to shelter as soon as the alert sounds, without waiting for explosions.

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By the numbers
25floors in the building in Darnytskyi district hit by the Shahed
2dead according to Zelensky and the KCMA; wounded — 9–11
6+explosions in Kyiv before the alert, per Channel 24
Diplomacy · EnergyPress ✓ 6 outlets · the Kremlin has not confirmed the statement

The Kremlin has not confirmed the “energy truce” and rejected a 60-day one; Kallas: the EU does not yet see Moscow observing it

On Monday the Kremlin rejected Zelensky’s idea of a 60-day ceasefire for the sake of elections and said it wants a comprehensive peace deal (Reuters, Kyiv Post); Kyiv Post adds that Moscow fears Kyiv would use the pause to regroup. According to Kyiv Post and TASS (via FinancialJuice), Moscow is ready to halt strikes only for the day of the vote. Whether the “energy truce” announced by Trump on Sunday is in effect, the Kremlin has not confirmed: it says contacts with the US continue (RFI, NU.nl). EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs Kaja Kallas welcomed the arrangement but said Brussels does not see it being observed, and called for tougher sanctions (Ukrainska Pravda, ANSA, BFMTV). The same day EU ministers approved almost 1,600 new sanctions listings against the Russian military-industrial complex (Reuters, FinancialJuice).

Zelensky repeated the condition: Ukraine will not hit Russian refineries if Russia stops hitting Ukraine’s power sector; he noted that Ukraine has only one refinery, so for Kyiv the key is to stop strikes on power plants and grids (Ukrainska Pravda). According to the Defense Ministry, cited by Ukrainska Pravda, 12 Russian refineries were hit in September. Zelensky also spoke with German Chancellor Merz about new attacks on energy and about a meeting of the “coalition of the willing” (NV, the president’s Telegram). Separately, the president said that in the Dobropillia area of Donetsk region Russia loses about 200 troops killed every day (NV, Slovo i Dilo); this is his estimate, and we have not verified it independently.

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Word of the day
ballisticsword of the day

Missiles that fly in a high arc and fall on the target fast; little time is left for a warning.


EU · AccessionPress ✓ 4 outlets · statement by Ireland’s minister

EU countries agree to open clusters 2 and 3 for Ukraine; Zelensky signs the law Hungary demanded

All EU member states agreed to open the second and third negotiating clusters for Ukraine and Moldova — “internal market” and “competitiveness and inclusive growth” (Ukrainska Pravda, NV, RBC-Ukraine, Kyiv Post). Ireland’s Minister for European Affairs Thomas Byrne said that Oct. 13 will be a “super Tuesday” for Albania, Moldova and Ukraine. The decision was made a few hours after Ukraine approved amendments to the law on the education of national minorities: Zelensky signed them on Monday, and Hungary had demanded them as a condition for opening the clusters (Ukrainska Pravda, Kyiv Post).

Hungarian Prime Minister Péter Magyar thanked the negotiators; according to Ukrainska Pravda, the changes make it easier for Hungarian children in Zakarpattia to study in their native language. On Monday Sybiha took part in the EU Foreign Affairs Council meeting and called for more pressure on Russia (Yevropeiska Pravda, LB.ua); after talks with the Hungarian side he said Ukraine expects the official opening of the two clusters on Oct. 13 (Ukrainska Pravda). Kallas said the EU will probably expand talks with Ukraine soon (FinancialJuice). How long each cluster will take is not stated in our sources.

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World · SanctionsPress ✓ 6 outlets · statements by politicians

Trump’s diesel deal with Putin: Merz calls it unacceptable, London does not back it, both parties complain in Congress

On Monday Trump defended the deal with Russia on diesel fuel exports, saying he made it “for the American people” (Reuters, Ukrainska Pravda). German Chancellor Friedrich Merz called the deal unacceptable (NV), Britain does not support it (Ukrainska Pravda), and Republican Mike Lawler in the House of Representatives said the US should not make such a deal (Bloomberg). According to Reuters, lawmakers from both parties are complaining; Yevropeiska Pravda wrote about seven US senators demanding a change of course.

US envoy Jared Kushner, according to FinancialJuice citing three participants in the meeting, explained to Ukrainians that the deal is an attempt to bring Russia back to negotiations; we could not confirm this in a second outlet. PBS writes that Russian diesel exports are small and unlikely to affect prices, but will give Moscow revenue. Newsweek quotes experts: the deal may not manage to lower fuel prices before the midterm elections.

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Economy · MarketsUS closing data for Oct. 9; NBU rate; Ukrenergo schedules

Markets: on Friday S&P 500 +0.59%, gold +1.43%; NBU raises the dollar rate to 44.95 hryvnias, outage schedules on Tuesday

The latest confirmed US market closes are for Friday, Oct. 9: S&P 500 — 7,811.54 points (+0.59%), Nasdaq — 27,366.17 (+0.64%), Dow — 51,654.95 (+0.83%). WTI crude — $91.85 a barrel (+0.39%), gold — $4,216.3 an ounce (+1.43%). Monday’s close, Oct. 12, came at 20:00 Greenwich time and did not make it into this issue; during the day the indexes, according to AP and Telegraaf, stayed near records and moved in different directions.

The National Bank set the official rate for Tuesday, Oct. 13 at 44.95 hryvnias per dollar — 7 kopecks more than for Monday (Minfin, Ukrinform, Ekonomichna Pravda, Censor.NET; the outlets round differently). We could not confirm the PFTS index for Monday. Ukrenergo warned that on Tuesday from 06:00 to 23:59 hourly outages for all consumers and schedules of capacity limits for businesses will apply in some regions (NV, RBC-Ukraine, Glavkom, Ekonomichna Pravda).

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In brief
  • Lozova: a woman killed, seven wounded.Ukrainska Pravda
  • Kropyvnytskyi: armed man threw grenades at police officers.RBC-Ukraine
  • Rivne region: some schools switch to distance learning.RBC-Ukraine
  • Burnham: Russia interfered in the Brexit referendum.The Guardian
  • NATO: a Russian attack would be “absolutely futile.”Reuters
  • Japan signs contract for SkyFall interceptor drones.Kyiv Post
  • Kyiv: how schools will operate during outages.NV
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Unverified — what we could not confirm

“The energy truce is already in effect.” There is only a post by Trump; the Kremlin has not confirmed it, Kyiv asked for details, and Kallas says she does not see it being observed (Reuters, Ukrainska Pravda, RFI).
“Austria detained a Ukrainian journalist for his work.” Vienna prosecutors name eyewitness testimony and a suspicion unrelated to his work as the reason; Ukrainska Pravda disputes this (Reuters, RBC-Ukraine, NV).
“After strikes on three Russian data centers, pro-Russian bot activity dropped.” So write X users; Le Figaro has begun checking, and we have not seen confirmation in a second outlet.

Influencer watch

  • Володимир Зеленський Telegram · 10/12Wrote on Telegram that Russia hit a Kyiv high-rise with a Shahed in the evening: two dead, nine wounded.
  • Володимир Зеленський Telegram · 10/12Wrote on Telegram that he spoke with Merz about how Russia answers Trump's statement with new attacks on energy.
  • Donald Trump Truth Social · 10/12Wrote on Truth Social that the EU paid Russia $250 billion for energy and that he "made the right choice" for Americans.

Statements as posted, not fact-checked.

Glossary · dotted words — economics, law, security and science terms explained in the context of the story. The list grows every day.
INSIDEA Shahed killed two people in a Kyiv high-rise; later ballistic missiles hit the capital before the air-raid alertUkraine · WarThe Kremlin has not confirmed the “energy truce” and rejected a 60-day one; Kallas: the EU does not yet see Moscow observing itDiplomacy · EnergyEU countries agree to open clusters 2 and 3 for Ukraine; Zelensky signs the law Hungary demandedEU · AccessionTrump’s diesel deal with Putin: Merz calls it unacceptable, London does not back it, both parties complain in CongressWorld · SanctionsMarkets: on Friday S&P 500 +0.59%, gold +1.43%; NBU raises the dollar rate to 44.95 hryvnias, outage schedules on TuesdayEconomy · Markets