—PSI · Oct. 8 close not confirmed

DailyDrop.

1.1186EUR/USD · ECB reference rate of Oct. 8 (previous business day) · +0.08%
PSI—EUR/USD1.1186▲0.08%10/8S&P 5007,765.36▼0.47%10/8WTI$91.50▲3.60%10/8Gold$4,157.00▲0.20%10/8
Economy · BudgetPress ✓ 4 outlets · figures from the Government and the press

Government submits 2027 State Budget: surplus of 0.1% to 0.2% and minimum wage of €970

The proposal, approved by the Council of Ministers and submitted to Parliament yesterday, updates the IRS tax brackets, raises the solidarity supplement for the elderly and counts on the PS’s announced abstention. The general debate is on Oct. 27 and 28.

The Government yesterday approved the 2027 State Budget proposal in the Council of Ministers, submitted the same day to the Assembly of the Republic (RTP, dnoticias). Finance Minister Miranda Sarmento forecasts a surplus of 0.1% to 0.2% of GDP and growth of about 2%, figures that the press reports with slight differences (DN says 2.1%). The Government expects debt to fall to 84.5% of GDP and inflation to ease from 2.9% this year to 2.3% next year (Euronews, DN).

On IRS, the tax brackets are updated by 3.88%, which the Executive says keeps the tax burden neutral for pay rises of up to 4.5%, and the threshold above which the solidarity surcharge is paid goes up. The solidarity supplement for the elderly rises by €50, to €720, and the minimum wage goes from €920 to €970 on Jan. 1, 2027, with a target of €1,100 by 2029; some unions want more. The cut in IRS rates was handled in a separate law, not in the Budget. The PS, led by José Luís Carneiro, will abstain after assurances on pensions and on financing investment after the PRR, which guarantees approval; the PCP and BE will vote against and Chega threatens to do the same.

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By the numbers
0.1%–0.2%projected budget surplus for 2027, as a percentage of GDP
€970proposed minimum wage, €50 more than the current €920
Nov. 24final overall vote on the Budget
Energy · OilPress ✓ 5 outlets · damage from the attacks not yet confirmed

Oil rises 3.6% after explosions in Riyadh and an attack on a tanker off Qatar

WTI crude closed up about 3.6%, near $91.5 a barrel, after reports of explosions in Riyadh and a Houthi claim of a new attack on the Saudi capital’s airport; Brent reached $105 at the day’s high. Lufthansa and Indian airlines suspended flights to Riyadh (Reuters, CBS, Washington Post). Saudi officials have contested Houthi claims before, and the damage has not been independently confirmed.

The night before, a tanker was hit by several projectiles about 51 nautical miles north of Madinat ash Shamal, off Qatar, according to UKMTO, the first attack in the deep waters of the Gulf in almost a month (Al Jazeera, BBC). The BBC reports three dead in Houthi attacks on Saudi airports. On Wall Street, the S&P 500 fell 0.47% to 7,765.36 points and the US ten-year yield closed at 5.231%.

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Word of the day
BrentEnergy

Benchmark crude in Europe, extracted in the North Sea; it is the basis for the price of many fuels.


Culture · Nobel PrizePress ✓ 4 outlets · Swedish Academy decision

Nobel Prize in Literature goes to Canadian poet and essayist Anne Carson

On Thursday, Oct. 8, the Swedish Academy awarded the 2026 Nobel Prize in Literature to Canadian Anne Carson, a poet, translator and professor of Classical Studies, born in Toronto in 1950, who has taught since 1979 at universities in the US and Canada (O Povo, Bem Paraná, Viva, Jornal Opção). The academy highlighted the inventive character of the work and its dialogue with the classical tradition.

Among the works cited are “Autobiography of Red: A Novel in Verse”, “Antigonick” and “Glass, Irony and God”. She is only the third Canadian to receive the prize, thirteen years after Alice Munro. The prize is worth SEK 12 million according to one account, which another puts at SEK 11 million; the most precise source is the Nobel Foundation.

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World · Ukraine✓ 2 sources · death tolls not yet confirmed

Russia kills at least 30 people in Kramatorsk on second day of massive attacks; Miliband visits Kyiv

Russia killed at least 30 people in Kramatorsk, 33 according to El País, and four in Kyiv on the second day of massive attacks, according to El Mundo. The British Government says Foreign Secretary Ed Miliband told Putin, on his first visit to Ukraine in the post, that “he will not beat us by waiting” (GOV.UK), and announced new sanctions on the money, oil and supply chains that sustain the war.

The Guardian reports that Zelensky condemned “vile” attacks that killed 20 people in a single apartment building, and the Times reports 33 dead from a glide bomb at a bus stop. Death tolls vary by location and source and have not been confirmed by two independent outlets.

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Sport · National teamPress · one outlet (A Bola) · a lawyer’s interpretation

Ronaldo is “already suspended” from the national team, lawyer tells A Bola; dressing room did not react to his statement

According to lawyer Gonçalo Almeida, consulted by A Bola, Article 160 of the FPF disciplinary regulations provides, for anyone who abandons the national team, a suspension of one to six months and the automatic preventive suspension of the player, so Ronaldo would already be suspended from the national team. The Disciplinary Council can act without a formal complaint, because the facts are public, and the captain would be notified to respond.

A Bola also writes, in a headline, that in the national team dressing room there was “not a like or a comment” on Ronaldo’s statement. This is a lawyer’s reading and one newspaper’s account; the Portuguese Football Federation had announced no sanction by the time of going to press.

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In brief
  • Wall Street, Thursday: S&P 500 7,765.36 (−0.47%), WTI USD 91.50 (+3.60%), gold USD 4,157.0 (+0.20%)market data
  • EUR/USD 1.1186 at the ECB reference rate (+0.08%)ECB
  • Nasdaq −1.25% (27,193.34); US ten-year yield closes at 5.231%CBS, Reuters
  • FTSE 100 −0.16% (10,441.60); UK ten-year yield at 5.44%The Guardian, BBC
  • Ibex 35 −0.99% to 18,928.9 points, lowest since JuneExpansión
  • Nobel Prize in Literature: Anne CarsonO Povo, Viva
  • 2027 State Budget goes to debate in Parliament todayRTP, dnoticias
  • Tanker attack off Qatar: Brent above $100Al Jazeera, BBC
Seven minutes every morning, one front page

Unverified — what we could not confirm

“The FPF has suspended Ronaldo indefinitely.” It circulated on a Mexican site citing The Mirror (El Imparcial); the federation has not confirmed it, and the Disciplinary Council’s latest statement included no decision on Ronaldo.
“Riyadh airport was destroyed.” The Houthis claimed a new attack on the airport and there were reports of explosions, but the damage has not been independently confirmed and Saudi Arabia has contested earlier claims (Reuters, Washington Post).

Influencer watch

  • Donald Trump, Presidente dos EUA Truth Social · 10/8Trump wrote on Truth Social that the US is having productive discussions with Iran; per CNN and CNBC he said there would be no attack before the Nov. 3 midterms.
  • Volodymyr Zelensky, Presidente da Ucrânia Telegram · 10/8Zelensky wrote on Telegram that Ukraine is preparing responses to a new wave of Russian escalation and is working with partners on additional air-defense packages and F-16 munitions.

Statements as posted, not fact-checked.

Glossary · dotted words — economics, law, security and science terms explained in the context of the story. The list grows every day.
INSIDEGovernment submits 2027 State Budget: surplus of 0.1% to 0.2% and minimum wage of €970Economy · BudgetOil rises 3.6% after explosions in Riyadh and an attack on a tanker off QatarEnergy · OilNobel Prize in Literature goes to Canadian poet and essayist Anne CarsonCulture · Nobel PrizeRussia kills at least 30 people in Kramatorsk on second day of massive attacks; Miliband visits KyivWorld · UkraineRonaldo is “already suspended” from the national team, lawyer tells A Bola; dressing room did not react to his statementSport · National team