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Politics · ElectionsPress ✓ 6 outlets · remarks are each side's public statements; the head count is from a single outlet

TVBS, SET to co-host Taipei mayoral debate; camps talk date and cross-examination today as Shen's “Taipei Great Ocean Current” motorcade sweep debuts

With 47 days to the Nov. 28 nine-in-one elections, the number of debates, the dates and the rules are all still unsettled; Shen's motorcade sweep on the 11th ran from Zhongshan and Datong to Baoan Temple.

TVBS and SET TV announced on the evening of the 11th that they will co-host a televised debate for Taipei mayoral candidates; the Liberty Times, United Daily News, SET News and NOWnews all reported the arrangement. The two camps are to negotiate the date and format on the 12th (Monday), and how cross-examination would work is drawing the most attention. Earlier, Puma Shen of the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) invited 4 debates and argued for cross-examination; incumbent mayor Chiang Wan-an of the Kuomintang (KMT) said “shouting for more debates doesn't mean winning,” that the details can all be discussed, and that he hopes Shen's representative will attend the Monday talks; Chiang's side had earlier agreed only to the TVBS one (CNA, PTS, Liberty Times). Shen said that without cross-examination one only hears the other side repeat established positions; Chiang's campaign office countered by accusing the other side of spreading rumors, and listed 3 points it considers in dispute (Liberty Times). Chan Wei-yuan of the Taiwan People's Party (TPP) thinks 1 to 2 debates are most appropriate (Liberty Times). The debates in the Kaohsiung mayoral race have already been settled; the DPP's Lai Jui-lung said Kaohsiung could do it and he believes Taipei can too (Liberty Times). A televised debate differs from the policy presentation sessions run by the Central Election Commission (those are occasions the election authority holds under the law): it is invited by media and candidates take part voluntarily, so the number of sessions and the rules depend on the two sides negotiating.

Another strand is the contest over campaign momentum. A motorcade sweep is a campaign convoy touring the streets to canvass for votes. The “Taipei Great Ocean Current” motorcade sweep that Shen launched on the 11th ran from Zhongshan and Datong to its terminus at Baoan Temple, where he announced 5 policy proposals in front of the temple; Yahoo News described him as not reading from a script and “unboxing” the items one by one; Taipei city councilor Wang Shih-chien presented a “Thor's hammer” (CNA, Liberty Times). The Liberty Times reported over 2,000 vehicles in the convoy and 65,000 viewers on the livestream, figures from a single outlet with no corroboration from police or organizers. The motorcade also drew complaints, and Shen apologized on Threads (Liberty Times). On the other side, the fallout from Lee Yen-hsiu's 9th remark that “social workers hand out drugs” continues, and the social workers' union plans to protest at her office on the 12th (Liberty Times); the Ministry of Health and Welfare had already clarified that the harm-reduction program is not meant to have social workers distribute drugs. KMT legislators have scheduled drug briefings from 8 agencies, and DPP legislator Lin Yueh-chin urged listening to professional opinion so that the issue does not become an extension of election smears (Liberty Times). The next exchanges will mostly come down to debate rules and the number of sessions; if a date is settled, it will be the biggest public clash before the vote. On the 10th Chiang received at Guangzhao Temple in Wanhua a debate invitation that Shen handed to him personally, and his campaign office responded that it would accept only the TVBS one, so whether Chiang's side accepts this debate co-hosted by two stations is also a point to watch (Liberty Times).

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By the numbers
47 daysDays to the Nov. 28 nine-in-one elections (calendar count)
4 debatesDebates Puma Shen invited; Chiang's side had earlier agreed only to the TVBS one (CNA)
Over 2,000 vehiclesMotorcade size cited by the Liberty Times, a single source
Cross-strait · MilitaryPress ✓ 2 outlets · descriptions of the waters differ; Ministry of National Defense response not yet found

PLA announces live-fire drills from the 12th in the East China Sea, Yellow Sea and other waters; PLA activity around Taiwan continued through National Day

The Liberty Times and PTS reported on the evening of the 11th that the PLA has announced live-fire drills starting on the 12th. The Liberty Times wrote Oct. 12 to 17 in 5 sea areas including the East China Sea, while the PTS headline mentions the Yellow Sea and other waters; the two outlets do not describe the waters identically, and the exact coordinates and times should be taken from the navigational warnings of China's maritime authority. PTS noted that PLA activity around Taiwan continued through National Day. Another Liberty Times report said the Chinese side calls its drills around Taiwan “safeguarding Taiwan's security,” a response to President Lai's National Day speech stressing deterrence of war. Live-fire drills are the military practicing with real ammunition; ships and aircraft must stay clear of the announced area. The Ministry of National Defense's explanation of this firing, and the latest numbers of PLA aircraft and ships, we had not found as of press time, so they are listed as unconfirmed. Raymond Burghardt, a former chairman of the American Institute in Taiwan (AIT), said the Taiwan Strait is more dangerous than 20 years ago (Liberty Times, single source). Unlike the large-scale live-fire drills encircling Taiwan in August 2022, this announcement does not name specific areas around Taiwan and does not state the scale; how far the firing areas are from Taiwan's main island, the outlets do not say, and we do not speculate.

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Word of the day
Live-fire drillsMILITARY

Firing exercises in which the military uses real ammunition. Unlike drills that use only blanks or simulation, ships and aircraft in the announced area must stay clear.


World · Russia-UkrainePress ✓ 6 outlets · ceasefire terms are Trump's account; no Russian response found

Trump announces Russia-Ukraine “energy ceasefire” effective immediately; Zelensky says “it's news to me” but voices support and awaits U.S. details

Trump announced in a post on Truth Social on the 11th that Russia and Ukraine had agreed to an “energy ceasefire,” effective immediately (Reuters, NBC, USA Today, Liberty Times). Ukrainian President Zelensky then said the news was “news” to him (NBC, The Week), but also stated on his Telegram channel that Ukraine supports a ceasefire, and said he had just spoken about it with Canadian Prime Minister Carney, Finnish President Stubb and NATO Secretary General Rutte and was still waiting for details from the U.S. (Ukrainska Pravda, FinancialJuice). Zelensky also told ABC that if Russia accepts a 60-day ceasefire, he is willing to hold the postponed presidential election (Reuters). Reuters also reported that Zelensky said that as long as Russia stops attacking energy facilities, Ukraine will stop striking refineries. Whether the Kremlin has confirmed, and how a ceasefire would be monitored, we found no reliable response as of press time. Trump also demanded that neither side violate the ceasefire (Livemint); he recently also called on Ukraine to change its president (PTS), while Germany voiced support for Zelensky (Reuters); the diesel deal Trump announced on the 9th was also criticized by a senior Republican senator as illegal and dangerous (Liberty Times, single source).

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World · Middle EastPress ✓ 6 outlets · casualty figures are Saudi officials' account

Riyadh airport attack kills 12, injures over 300, airport closure extended; terminal fire reported again on the 11th as Houthis repeat warning

Saudi authorities said that on the 10th (Saturday) an attack on King Khalid International Airport in Riyadh killed 12 people and injured more than 300 (AP, NPR, CBS, Politico). FinancialJuice reported that the Houthis claimed responsibility; AP reported that Saudi Arabia extended the airport's closure. The Saudi Gazette and Israel's Haaretz reported that the Saudi-led coalition said on the 11th that Terminal 4 was hit again by a projectile, causing a fire. The Houthis again warned airlines and travelers not to use Saudi airports (Reuters, Straits Times). NPR reported that Trump is considering whether to join military action against the Houthis. The Philippines, India and Pakistan said their nationals were injured (Philippine Daily Inquirer, Economic Times, FinancialJuice). The Financial Times reported that oil industry executives withdrew from the World Petroleum Congress held in Riyadh, and Reuters reported Saudi stocks fell. Saudi Arabia's energy minister called Riyadh the “capital of energy security” and pledged to stabilize global supply (Saudi Gazette); Pakistan's foreign minister condemned the attack and instructed its embassy in Riyadh to help the injured, and the European Commission also warned of escalation (FinancialJuice, ANTARA).

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Finance · MarketsPress ✓ 3 outlets · prices are DailyDrop data; the gain figure is a single tally

Taiwan stocks reopen on the 12th: U.S. stocks rose 0.59% and gold 1.43% Friday; TSMC's investor conference on the 15th is the week's focus

Taiwan's market was closed for the National Day holiday and reopens on the 12th (Monday); on the last trading day before the break (the 8th), the TAIEX closed at 49,313.44, down 0.99% (DailyDrop market data). During the break, U.S. stocks closed on the 9th (Friday): the S&P 500 rose 0.59% to 7,811.54; West Texas Intermediate rose 0.39% to US$91.85 a barrel; gold rose 1.43% to US$4,216.3 an ounce (DailyDrop market data). The U.S. dollar was quoted at NT$31.916, down 0.01%. CNA reports that investment advisers see TSMC's investor conference as this week's focus for Taiwan stocks; the Liberty Times reports the conference is on the 15th and, citing foreign media, says Taiwan stocks are up nearly 70% this year, while another report cites an investment trust tally of a cumulative gain of 70.26% and thinks October may stay range-bound. Investment advisers think corporate earnings can offset the shock of high interest rates and that a fourth-quarter breakout rally is possible; others worry about an AI bubble and recommend diversifying (Liberty Times, Yahoo News). The U.S. launch of Section 337 investigations into Foxconn, Delta Electronics and Quanta, with the Ministry of Economic Affairs saying it will provide assistance, is also a variable for electronics stocks on the first day back (CNA).

A reminder: the 12th is a U.S. federal holiday; the bond market is closed while stocks trade as usual. How markets react to the Riyadh airport attack and the Russia-Ukraine energy ceasefire during the break will only be known after the open; we do not forecast.

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In brief
  • CPBL playoff challenge round: Uni-President Lions win 2 straight to level the series, face CTBC Brothers in Game 4 on the 12th, winner earns a ticket to the Taiwan SeriesLiberty Times, Yahoo Sports
  • Northbound return traffic on National Freeway No. 5 eased gradually in the evening; 36 accidents occurred on national freeways that dayLiberty Times
  • Major fire at Youding Technology in Zhubei, 15 fire trucks dispatched, thick smoke causes air pollutionLiberty Times
  • Afternoon fire at a landfill in Yuanli, Miaoli, with smoke visible from the freewayPTS, Liberty Times
  • Weather fan page says “Koguma” is this year's 8th severe typhoon and “Jangmi” may form this week, with some forecasts bringing it near Taiwan; go by Central Weather Administration announcementsUnited Daily News, Liberty Times
  • Migrant boat sinks off Djibouti; UN agency says at least 109 deadReuters, Liberty Times
  • Nepal flash flood forces village evacuation; reports say at least 5 missingReuters, AP
  • Japan's Komeito secretary-general says “Taiwan should be returned to China”; Liberty Times reports public criticism (single source)Liberty Times
Seven minutes every morning, one front page

Unverified — what we could not confirm

“Russia and Ukraine have agreed to an energy ceasefire.” So far this is Trump's unilateral account; Zelensky said it was news to him but voiced support and awaits details; we found no response from Russia (Reuters, NBC).
“The Houthis also struck Dammam airport and other targets.” Mentioned only in a flash from FinancialJuice; not yet confirmed by other outlets.
“The U.S. Section 337 investigation means products from Foxconn and other Taiwanese firms will be banned from import.” The U.S. side stressed no decision has been made (CNA); Foxconn said shipments and customer cooperation are not materially affected (Liberty Times).

Influencer watch

  • 川普(Donald Trump) Truth Social · 10/11Trump announced on Truth Social that Russia and Ukraine agreed an energy ceasefire effective immediately.
  • 澤倫斯基(Volodymyr Zelensky) Telegram · 10/11Zelensky said on Telegram that Ukraine supports the energy ceasefire Trump announced and discussed it with Carney, Stubb and Rutte.
  • 蔡英文 Facebook · 10/11Tsai Ing-wen posted on Facebook congratulating Taiwan on National Day and thanking overseas Taiwanese for making friends for Taiwan.
  • 沈伯洋 Threads · 10/11Shen Po-yang apologised on Threads after complaints about his Taipei Ocean Current car parade.

Statements as posted, not fact-checked.

Glossary · dotted words — economics, law, security and science terms explained in the context of the story. The list grows every day.
INSIDETVBS, SET to co-host Taipei mayoral debate; camps talk date and cross-examination today as Shen's “Taipei Great Ocean Current” motorcade sweep debutsPolitics · ElectionsPLA announces live-fire drills from the 12th in the East China Sea, Yellow Sea and other waters; PLA activity around Taiwan continued through National DayCross-strait · MilitaryTrump announces Russia-Ukraine “energy ceasefire” effective immediately; Zelensky says “it's news to me” but voices support and awaits U.S. detailsWorld · Russia-UkraineRiyadh airport attack kills 12, injures over 300, airport closure extended; terminal fire reported again on the 11th as Houthis repeat warningWorld · Middle EastTaiwan stocks reopen on the 12th: U.S. stocks rose 0.59% and gold 1.43% Friday; TSMC's investor conference on the 15th is the week's focusFinance · Markets